Angela Merkel is not known, all too quickly. In the European policy, the Chancellor can often be time, before taking a Position. In the Brexit , however, makes an exception. For some time now, Merkel declared that she "will fight to the last hour" for a disorderly exit the EU to stop the UK.
However, the Chancellor has the not alone in the Hand. The interest that a No-Deal scenario with (almost) any means avert it, is not in the EU, Far from anywhere as pronounced as in Berlin. Certainly not in Paris.
unlike the Chancellor, Emmanuel Macron, has the possibility of a hard Brexit without exit the contract emphasized again and again. In the eyes of the French President, the probability of a chaotic leaving the EU has risen in the past few days, it said on Monday in French government circles.
The message from Paris is clear: The British should not be too sure that the EU is leaving do not jump over the cliff. Not only in the case of a Macron, there are quite strong arguments that speak against a further extension of the Brexit-drama.
Waiting for May
First to the starting position. A week prior to the special summit on may 10. April, the political Situation in London is always unpredictable. However, regardless of whether the vote under the house again on the withdrawal of the contract or other wishes expressed by The 27 remaining EU countries prepare for all options. The guard rails have the heads of state and government at the last EU summit.
And so the British Prime Minister Theresa May will have to explain whether their country at the European elections end of may. This is the basic requirement for a Brexit-a postponement. May must also show a compelling way how it is now.
get Out of the cul-de-SAC
This second condition has been formulated in the recent summit Declaration. It is clear, however, that the EU-27 will not be a further vote on the withdrawal agreement, to approve an extension. "We don't need to can be sure that we are about to land then back to where we are now: in the cul-de-SAC," says an EU Diplomat.
Possible new elections, or a second Referendum. On the other hand, both of which are fraught with large uncertainties, even for the EU. For example, a Brexiteer such as Boris Johnson, the new Premier could – with the right to vote in the European Council.
in addition to the uncertain situation in London, the heads of state are expected to heads of government and above all a balance: What are the consequences if the UK takes on the European elections? After Brexit, the number of deputies in the European Parliament to decline, actually, from 751 to 705. 46 so far, 73 British seats will be held for possible enlargements of the EU in the Reserve. The remaining 27 seats are allocated on a so far slightly under-represented countries.
political Party in power poker
most of The new seats would France and Spain. The Brexit should be extended process, would have to Paris and Madrid to waive the five additional deputies. For Macron, the movement of La République en Marche does not belong to any established party families, we would add, that he has no allies in the UK. Labour would remain in the social democratic group, and the Tories in the EU-critical ECR group.
But also away from the party political power of poker, there is one hurdle, the need to measure all 27 EU member States: part of great Britain at the European election, it would have a de facto all rights as a member of the EU. The deputies from the United Kingdom should, therefore, vote for the new President of the Commission and selection of commissioners have a say.
the Extent to which the UK, the Council of Ministers, contains in the EU in the issues of the future, is a matter of negotiation. For example, most EU countries insist that London has a major say in the forthcoming discussions on the next budgetary framework.
Juncker: "The Sphinx to Talk
But all this" games do nothing to change the chaotic situation. "A Sphinx is an open book in comparison to the British Parliament," said European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker on Monday. He appealed, "to bring this Sphinx now to Talk", because it is rich now "the long Silence".
No question, the frustration is big in Brussels. And so Juncker expressed his displeasure that the EU Commission before the Brexit Referendum not going to have your arguments for Europe in the UK. This had been acknowledged by the then Prime Minister, David Cameron banned, said Juncker. And added: "Mr Cameron, who is one of the biggest destroyers of the modern history." (Editorial Tamedia)
Created: 02.04.2019, 09:13 PM