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The night when the dream of neat Brexit was in pieces

house of commons in London rejected the agreement about the divorce from the EUROPEAN union as prime minister Theresa May had negotiated through more than two stormy years, with historic 432 votes while only 202 supported the prime minister. It is an awful defeat for the prime minister – even a – and it was expected of virtually all political iakttakere. But what happens next, do not know any man.

May said after his defeat in the open for the vote of confidence in her government already on Wednesday. The labour party leader, Jeremy Corbyn, straightway took up the glove and performed a suggestion of distrust. But, strange as it may seem, comes May are unlikely to be fields. The more than a hundred from her own conservative party who voted against her appointment, will not vote for distrust against her. They will not have Corbyn as prime minister.

But now what? The house of commons has rejected this agreement, which the EU says is the only possible. The house of commons has said what the elected officials do not want to have, and said it really clearly, but the EUROPEAN union wonder what the british people want. In the house of commons is apparently not a majority for anything when it comes to the relationship to the EUROPEAN union, except to reject this agreement. And why May this defeat, his poem in all directions. Among them there are both supporters and opponents of membership in the EUROPEAN union.

the Uk leaves the EU statsrettslig 29. march in line with paragraph 50 of withdrawal in the treaty of Lisbon, after having notified about this two years earlier. The negotiations about the divorce in nearly two years, to be a single avalanche of surprises. 29. march can the british go headlong out of the EU without any agreement, with extensive and agonizing, but uforutsigelige follows, and the worst for the british, but bad also for the EU. In the house of commons, there is no majority for leaving the EU without an agreement. But if the british do not want this agreement, but rather not go out without an agreement, what do they want then?

Until the last has May hammered again and again on his message: There are only two possible outcomes. Either that this agreement or so there will be no "Brexit". One of the possible outcomes is to hold a new referendum on membership in the EUROPEAN union. It will not May and the Labour party is rather tepid, but more and more believe this is the most democratic workaround. Now know the british voters what it means to leave the EUROPEAN union. But this will take time, the same goes for early elections, and time is precious.

IN the EU have long since thrown all schedules for "Brexit" in papirkorga. Already before christmas took EU leaders for granted a defeat for May in the house of commons. Now considering to postpone the date for the british withdrawal from the EU and beyond 29. march, by interpreting section 50 of the Lisbon treaty fairly freely. This must be the Uk in case the first request and then have the other 27 member states unanimously agree to it.

But this poses difficulties. In may, there are elections to the european parliament. If the united Kingdom remains a member need to the british participate in the election. When the new elected representatives are set down in the european parliament in the first week in July, when the newly elected british members put up for shortly afterwards, to be asked to leave the room?

BREXIT: the Parliament voted no on Theresa Mays Brexit plan. Video: AP View more

Many of them that voted down the May Tuesday night differ obviously between the agreement about the divorce that May have put forward, which is an agreement about the settlement of the estate after forty years of marriage, and an agreement on the future relationship with the EU, which you have not yet started to negotiate about. They will not "pay", as they say, before they know what they get again. That kind of trickery rejected the EU from the first moment.

From the debate in the house of commons, which has been running from before christmas to now, it seems that they reserveløsningene agreed to keep the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland open, is the hardest point. The open border is a part of the peace agreement for Northern Ireland that both parties will cherish. When will the united Kingdom be a part of the customs union and follow the EU rules for this, until they agree on other solutions. This is not something the EU wanted. The EU proposed to let Northern Ireland continue in the customs union until further notice. But May be not, especially not when she is dependent on parliamentary support from the protestant unionister in Northern Ireland, go on a border between Northern Ireland and the rest of the Uk. She proposed to let the whole Kingdom be in the customs union until further notice. This is called in the strange "Brexit"-the language of the "backstop". The EU-opponents fear this can bind the united Kingdom to the EUROPEAN union rules forever. But the EU, with Ireland as a member, agree to no limit on the island with soldiers and tax collectors, or a system that can be an open backdoor for smugglers to the internal market of the EU.

other EU leaders see listed against the political tåkeheimen as omhyller Westminster, where, in the house of commons have not found a majority for anything, except to reject the painstaking framforhandlede agreement. It is the only possible agreement, repeat the leaders in the EUROPEAN union, and reject to open new negotiations.

the "Brexit" means "Brexit" was the harsh slogan from Theresa May when she took over as prime minister. But it does at least not two and a half years later.

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