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US troops withdrawal from Syria : Why is trump's decision, Russia and Iran use to

US President Donald Trump has surprised friend and foe. His decision to withdraw around 2000 in the North-East of Syria, stationed U.S. soldiers, came out of th

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US troops withdrawal from Syria : Why is trump's decision, Russia and Iran use to

US President Donald Trump has surprised friend and foe. His decision to withdraw around 2000 in the North-East of Syria, stationed U.S. soldiers, came out of the blue. About Trumps reasons for this speculation: it is possible that the interior wanted political President pressed to announce a foreign policy success, he announced the victory over the Islamic state.

Some observers suspect that the announcement of a new military intervention in Syria through Turkey the US President to the decision. It is established that the decision to move the political Weights around the Middle East, and far-reaching consequences for many actors.

The USA – they are losing influence in the middle East?

trump's sudden decision undermines the credibility of the US super-power in the Middle East. Given the volatility and unpredictability of American politics U.S. is likely to hold its own partners, such as Egypt in the future, more to Russia to its own interests against unpredictable reversals by the White house.

Also in other respects Trumps decision would be a mistake, emphasizes the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, in an analysis: contrary to Trump's claims not to be defeated, the Islamic state (IS). In addition, there is no reliable approach for a political solution to the Syria conflict, or a form of insurance against a further power, the spread of Iran. The authors of the analysis, Dana Stroul and Soner Cagaptay, rates of the American government to urgently reconsider the withdrawal decision. Otherwise hazardous to Washington, his own objectives in the Middle East.

The Kurds – what options do you have now?

The Syrian Kurds, the main losers of trump's decision. Your militia YPG, an offshoot of the terrorist organization PKK, for the Americans, the troops on the ground in the fight against the Islamic state. In return, the YPG and its parent party PYD were given a free Hand in the establishment of a Kurdish Autonomous region along the Turkish southern border. The YPG-fighters were trained by the USA and armed – much to the Annoyance of Ankara.

Without the protection of U.S. soldiers, the Kurds of a possible Turkish military intervention are delivered. The Kurds will be left, once again, of the United States to stand in the rain. Of the United States encouraged, and raised the Kurds in Iraq after the first Gulf war in 1990 against the dictator Saddam Hussein – but the hoped-for help from the Americans never came. In the past year, the United States watched from the sidelines as the Iraqi army sales the Kurdish associations in the oil-rich city of Kirkuk.

Now, YPG and PYD are in close proximity to Russia and the Syrian government in Damascus in order to protect themselves against Turkey. Their hope for a far-reaching regional autonomy in a post-war Syria will have to give up the Kurds, however, is likely to: President Bashar al-Assad is likely to see no reason to make the Kurds generous concessions.

Turkey's Erdogan strengthened?

Turkey benefited from the weakening of the Syrian Kurds. As a "historical success," celebrated the Pro-government newspaper "Sabah" the withdrawal decision. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had put the Trump with the announcement of the new military intervention successfully under pressure, said Hüseyin Alptekin of the think-tank Seta, which often reflects the positions of the Turkish government. Although the YPG and PYD would look for the proximity to Russia, but the Kurds would be likely, because the Turkey was for Moscow as a Partner more important, said Alptekin, the daily mirror.

Erdogan had already annoyed for a long time, the US troop presence in Syria and the cooperation of the Americans with the YPG. After Trumps decision, Turkey is likely to wait with the planned Intervention in Syria, until the US withdrawal is completed.

With the American retreat grows, but also the influence of Russia on the previous area of application of the Americans in Syria. Thus, it is uncertain whether or not Vladimir Putin a Turkish military would agree to intervention. Max Hoffman of the Washington think tank Center for American Progress, also stressed that a rapprochement between the Syrian Kurds and Assad for Turkey could be dangerous: Assad will try to use the Kurds to get revenge on his opponents, Erdogan, for example, by terrorist attacks, wrote to Hoffman on Twitter.

Russia, and Bashar al-Assad – you can celebrate a big victory?

Russia Trumps decision is very good news. Even now, the Kremlin chief Putin is the most important man in the Syrian conflict – with the departure of the Americans from the country, his influence continues to grow. Withdrawal of troops is contrary to the Russian aim of ending the conflict in Syria as soon as possible, by the ability of the Assad-government will be established throughout the country. Since the area of application of the Americans includes important Syrian oil Fields and the good fields, Putin and Assad will do everything to bring these areas rapidly under control.

Also, the Syrian President is allowed to count, therefore, of the winners. Up on the province of Idlib in the North-West, and the Kurds and Americans controlled the territory to the East, Assad has to put all the pieces of Syria back under his rule.

Whether Assad, Turkey and the Syrian Kurds: All have to rely even more on the goodwill of Moscow. Also the Prestige of the new middle East is growing-Power of Russia in the Region as a whole. Since Putin began three years ago with the military help to Assad, he benefits from the gradual withdrawal of the Americans from the area of the world. Trump's decision accelerated this Trend.

The "Islamic state" – Will win the IS back in strike force?

This is very likely. This is because, with the withdrawal of the American forces and the consequent weakening of the Kurds – is to remove the military pressure. The IS comes in very handy. He may have lost his "Caliphate" and thus be weakened. However, unlike Trump sounds, have defeated the terrorists in no way. In some areas of Syria, they are still active, dominate whole areas of land and defend successfully against your opponent.

observers assume that the IS has in its core area of several thousand battle-seasoned and fanatisierte men. The spread especially with attacks of fear, terror and death. They operate in the underground and lead to a kind of guerrilla war. The Islamists are in order after the loss of their "state", returned to its terrorist origins. If the USA were to pull back now and the IS the box to the left, should the militant fundamentalists take advantage of this opportunity to consolidate their Power and influence to expand.

Israel and Iran – is now growing the risk of a confrontation between Jerusalem and Tehran?

Already for a long time, the ties between America and Israel were not so closely as under Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu. But the of Washington announced withdrawal from Syria will be triggered when Israeli Prime hardly enthusiasm. Because of the close allies was a, to the in the fight against the arch-enemy Iran I could count. Trump was not tired to underline that Tehran should pull its own units and the Hezbollah militia from Syria. The operating there, U.S. soldiers were the Signal to the Mullahs that America will not tolerate it all. Now the joy is likely to be in the leadership in Tehran, major – a more beautiful gift than the withdrawal of American troops would make the US and Iran.

After reading of Iran is a clear sign of the weakness of the "great devil". And this weakness gives Tehran the Chance, undisturbed as yet about Syria, a land corridor in the direction of Lebanon to Hezbollah. To know the enemy Iran on two borders – the Syrian and the Lebanese, for Israel, a horror idea.

More about

Russia's Putin welcomes withdrawal of US troops from Syria

on several occasions, Netanyahu has made it clear that he will do everything to limit Tehran's influence in Syria. With the departure of the Americans the risk of a direct confrontation between Israel and Iran is growing. Because the Jewish state sees in the quest of the Mullahs to more Power in the Region, its own security will be threatened.

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