Nathan Shachar: Erdogan has abandoned their dreams of a settlement with the kurds

– The Turkish lirans cases since the summer has increased the cost of living in a dramatic way. There is a hard core of ideologically motivated AKP voters, who will vote on president Recep Tayyip Erdogan in all weather conditions. But millions of turks have supported the AKP because they had it better under the party's seventeen year-old domination. The AKP fear that a lot of these will to keep at home on Sunday in protest against the dyrtiderna.

" the outcome of the presidential election means a lot for the president's and the party's prestige, both domestically and internationally. Turkey is in a complicated foreign policy situation, in which Erdogan must maneuver in the force fields between the USA, Russia and Iran's interests. Weaken Erdogan will of his international rivals to take greater liberties.

Economic analysts expect that Erdogan sooner or later must seek reconciliation with Donald Trump, if he wants to snatch up the slowdown in the Turkish economy. It is a completely different thing to approach maktspelaren Trump after a segerval than to do it after a humiliation.

– the AKP and far-right MHP began collaborating in the summer of 2015, after the pro-kurdish HDP's surprising advance of the election. MHP's patriarch Devlet Bahceli has since acquired a great influence over government policy, and the authoritarian nationalism that he represents has pushed Erdogan's militant anti-kurdish policies, both within and outside the country's borders. The MHP's votes were precious to Erdogan during the presidential elections and the election on the new constitution. In return, the president has had to abandon all their old dreams of a settlement with the kurds.

Erdogan's maktparti pressed in the local elections