What kind of xG? All this you should know the trendy statistics: nothing of the Bible, the word

Paint the expected value, i.e. xG:t power to a sports debate at a rapid pace. The evening paper's betting expert Pete Käenmäki tell me what this is all about.Unmarked Cristiano Ronaldo headed a 10 metres from the opponent's goal. This situation, the xG is quite high. AOP1. What xG means.

paint the expected value, i.e. xG measure to score the quality of. Simply put a football field attack range is divided into several areas. Each area is data analysis, based on the calculated shot into the goal of going to probability. What is inside and closer to the goal of the bet is performed, the more quality score you have and the more xG place will be credited.

When the shot happened, for example, box from the outside, the ball into the goal of probability is naturally smaller than the five-yard area.

the Mere end result is very often a very inaccurate description of the match process. XG provides a considerably more accurate description to match the actual power relations.

2. Thus xG is calculated

paint the expected value of counting the basic idea is to match the significant events in a numeric form. If xG drops to electronically trigger using the map, the emphasis is purely on the shots statistics. The match finally both teams accrued xG are calculated together, in which case the game will be finish the expected value according to the result.

Another option is to calculate xG manually by following the match broadcast. In that case can be xG's instead talk perhaps more ”fair score”, as in the manual approach in the statistics, all the events that lead to sufficient play in the paint.

Shots in addition to the statistics, inter alia, special situations, medium-description 16-zone as well as the pressure section of the opponent's third.

all of These have calculated their own, often completely subjective, their value. For example, the angle made with paint about once every three to ten companies, which from one angle might be suitable to make up teams of 0.03-sized slice xG.

more Advanced calculation models also take account of who shot run. The same spot from ten meters to produce the paint quite a different probability, if the paint place is Leo Messi or Burnley-defender Ben Mee .

the Big difference is also in with a shot if the player with better foot, will there be a bet directly from the supply, the kind of pressure defense in the situation is whether the shots blocked by anyone and so on.

3. Thus xG utilized in betting

the event-time, i.e. live betting xG is an excellent aputyöväline. To be remembered, however, that it is not a Bible word. Sensible bets-taking also requires more analysis and understanding of the game, but simplifying things works for example like this:

If you put paint on the expected value refers to, say, half-time, the match finally, the xG is getting tumbled more than $ 2.50 for the paint, but the over 2.5 goals bet is offered to well over two tell, is a ”reward” expected value of a positive, ie profitable bet.

Another possible use is the xG series table, which reports considerably real in the league table in more detail, how series the situation should look like. What teams are over-what alisuoritti or have been purely unlucky? Precision xG-statistics means you are able to find out how the various teams goal threats is the best or which team is weak defending set pieces.

All of the above mentioned benefit of future matches in the assessment substantially.

4. A uniform way to calculate the xG is not – critical

the Established way to calculate the goal expectation is not. Different actors emphasize things differently, and interpretation of the remains, inter alia, the paint place, the quality of determination.

in Addition, others emphasize the launch site, so to speak, the ”game state”, i.e. the game in dominant situation on the scoreboard, which seems to match the picture. In this case, for example, a leading role in the passivation of being punished by reducing the team's xG-chapter.

on Twitter and the internet in the depths is much xG.this decline of private persons, tip sites, as well as data services offered by the companies. The same match is certainly offered in several different xG-read, incorrect for the data to be shared.

to Study the matter, critical and research so that you know whose numbers you should trust. XG-readings of the productive forces are, for example, Infogol, Optadata and Understan.

5. xG is suitable as a tool for more of the species

Each team to play the ball game, which is supposed to make the paint, the suitable xG-calculation target. In hockey goal, the expected value is already in use plenty of room – and it has begun to take up coaching aputyökaluksi. Hockey calculation model was already moderately very applicable also salibandyyn.

XG will also be utilised in hockey. Patrik Laine slap shot directly to the input of the dominance of the production of the paint so often. AOP