Guaidó has to fight with internal enemies

don't want to go That you've invented the interim President Juan Guiadó, as far as Maria Corina Machado. But she is, after all, so far, on this occasion, the fact that you've already communicated in mid-December: the path to freedom leads over 233!

Machado said the 233. Article in the Venezuelan Constitution that has brought it now to a world-wide fame. If the Constitution father Hugo Chávez is aware of this in his Mausoleum, he should resent the nice about the fact that Machado seems to have a way to the overthrow of the Chavism discovered on the back pages of the chavistischen Constitution.

Machado, 51, is considered to be one of the most influential and most radical figures of the Venezuelan Opposition. At the entrance to your office in Caracas, a flight sheet with the title "Manual of the struggle against the dictatorship." Point 3 says: "Declare to all, that there is no President." Machado says it so directly, but you can between the lines suggested that she was the one that said a few weeks ago, a certain Juan Guiadó analogy: If Nicolás Maduro is on the Basis of an invalid election for a second term swearing in, then President de facto, and then he, Guaidó assumes, according to article 233 on a transitional basis, the President of the Parliament. It's now or never, grab it!

The 35-year-old Guaidó is widely admired for his courage, a brutal military regime is open to challenge. But the longer one speaks with Maria Corina Machado, the smaller of this new national hero. "We need to protect him," she says. Machado's press officer is called Juan Guaidó "a procrastinator".

Guaidó has appointed, in accordance with Machado's interpretation not even the interim President, he is the one, according to the Constitution, automatically. It lacked only a tiny step. Thus, the automatism would become politically effective, he had to swear a public oath. Machado said: "He had no other choice. It was his duty to do."

is The all-important phone call from U.S. Vice President Pence

13 days were between Maduro's swearing-in on may 10. January and Guaidós oath of office as President. To car 13 days, in which the radical wing of the Venezuelan Opposition, apparently, to the young President of Parliament acted, and finally the decisive step. Yet on the eve of his oath, it means he's been undecided. According to a report by the "Wall Street Journal" was ultimately a call from the US Vice-President Mike Pence the rash, in the Guaidó was assured that it would recognize Washington immediately. As he lifted the next day, the Hand of the oath, was inaugurated in a very small circle of the Venezuelan Opposition. Including Maria Corina Machado.

You leave her office with the message that Juan Guiadó is less the driving force in the power struggle with Nicolás Maduro as a prominently placed piece of the puzzle. The biggest praise of Machado sounds so: "In this Moment, he stands in the center of attention." Mind you: in this Moment.

in case that Maduro crashes actually, and it comes in the foreseeable future, to elections in Venezuela, then it is not agreed that the transitional President Guaidó is also appointed to the presidential candidates. Currently, the notoriously divided Opposition occurs in the Public, exceptionally, like a close-knit unit. All support Guaidó. But the evidence suggests that this holds only as long as there is a common enemy, so Maduro.

in fact, long-standing heavyweights of the Opposition is seeking the best possible starting position for the next internal power struggle. Also, a Plan to shoot Guaidó from the race, is already prepared. It should be worldwide, is absolutely unusual that an interim President, whose only task it was to organize a new election, run subsequently, even in this election.

The punch line of all punch lines: Chávez is back

One of the Guiadó close, admits that this background noise "a real Problem". Juan Guaidó was a few weeks ago, not dreaming that he would ever be the focus of world politics. But in the meantime, he has found seem to have Fallen to its rapidly increasing popularity. He will have to vacate his pole position for a possible election is hardly voluntary.

As one of his toughest competitors are his long-time Mentor, Leopoldo López. He is the founder and leader of the party Voluntad Popular, Guaidó. López was sentenced in a highly dubious procedure to a long prison sentence he is serving currently in house arrest. He is considered to be the most prominent political prisoner in Venezuela. The Maduro should topple the Regime, should Lopez be pardoned immediately Guaidó and could then run for a presidential election. That he would let this opportunity slip away, hard to believe someone in Caracas.

in addition to Machado and López, the opposition leader, Julio Borges, Antonio Ledezma were apparently behind the Plan with the interim President Guiadó. The former President of Parliament Borges lives in exile in Colombia, Caracas' former mayor Ledezma in Spain. Both are expected to return in the event of a regime change, home and for the highest public office to stand for election.

all of them, Borges, Ledezma, Machado and López, belong to different parties, which have, until recently, the opposition Alliance MUD. But the MUD no longer exists, now every man for himself fight back, even if still behind the Scenes. But, it's pretty rough. Maria Corina Machado says about their movement Vente Venezuela: "We are the only liberal party in the country. All other more or less socialist."

Nicolás Maduro has lost every credit in the population, but Hugo Chávez is revered by many Venezuelans still like a Saint, and the original, the "true Chavismo" has still a significant potential for Mobilisation. Nevertheless, it is trust of this Opposition in the event of a new election, that they can't agree on a common candidate, but with three or four competing applicants to the departure. And it would be the punch line of all punch lines, if therefore, in the first free election after the end of the Chavism is a relatively moderate Chavist made the race.

(Sunday newspaper)

Created: 17.02.2019, 14:34 PM