Erik de la Reguera: May may have already started to prepare for elections

After last week's historic defeat in parliament, expected by many that the prime minister would present a clear change of course. But when she on Monday presented its ”plan B”, was told in practice: we are running plan A, a turns to.

" I will continue to hold talks with the various parties and see what can be done to reduce concerns about our backup plan is going to northern Ireland. Then I will forward it to the EUROPEAN union, said May, who at the same time signalled that she ”does not believe that there is a majority in this house to hold a second referendum”.

the Strategy remains the same as before: to let the time go by, and a disordered, avtalslöst EU exit getting closer and closer. The intention: that it will increase the pressure on Brussels to secure concessions that may appease the ”brexitörerna” in the Tories and the northern ireland, northern ireland, stödpartiet DUP.

It is not likely to impress the EU.

– The utträdesavtal which is on the table is the best possible agreement, and that includes our backup plan is going to northern Ireland, said the EU's chief negotiator, Michel Barnier said on Monday.

He poured thus cold water on a move from the Polish minister of foreign affairs Jacek Czaputowicz, who have opened to our backup plan is going could be time-limited.

on why it is so important to avoid border controls in Ireland, they got one in Saturday. A car bomb exploded then in Londonderry, a button miles from the border. No one was injured, but police suspect that the perpetrators belong to the member ”Real IRA”. Another, similar incident occurred on Monday.

Get the accommodation at the border is in any doubt about the kinds of attacks can be common after a avtalslös Brexit. All new physical infrastructure is expected to become the target of attacks from the radical republican groupings which require that northern Ireland leaves the Uk and becomes a part of Ireland.

An escalation can come as a letter in the mail, with the surveillance of the border and new attacks – something that risks becoming the end of the good Friday agreement, which guaranteed peace since 1998.

labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has, among other things, for that reason, for that May exclude a avtalslös Brexit. But the prime minister refuses – she looks the threat of a avtalslös Brexit as the strongest förhandlingskort with Brussels.

”hard” Brexit is preferable to take the risk that there will be no Brexit at all. The unruly parliament would be able to wrest control from her and prohibit a avtalslös Brexit – but then the prime minister respond to call an early presidential election.

Likely calculates May with that it can be an advantage to the Tories is now the only major party which has consistently insisted that the referendum result should be followed, regardless of the consequences.

In essence, however, this is also about self-preservation. A compromise with the Labour party or other opposition parties could lead to Mays conservative party conservative party is split in twain. The rumblings already in the party's right-wing, and about May, would venture to accept something in the style of a customs union with the EU, can the dissidents choose to form a new party.

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