Poll: the enigma Édouard Philippe

There is indeed an enigma Édouard Philippe. Since the Covid crisis, the former prime minister has enjoyed a high level of confidence, both with sympathizers on the right and those on the left. The French had appreciated his positioning and his frankness during confinement. His forced departure from Matignon, and his distancing from Emmanuel Macron (“loyal but free”) had helped to consolidate the structure of his popularity curve.

But since the beginning of the year, Édouard Philippe has taken particularly strong positions, on pensions as well as on the fight against immigration. So many positions that should have lowered it among left-wing sympathizers. It is not so, far from it: with 38% confidence on the left, he is even first ahead of Yannick Jadot (37%) and François Hollande (33%)! Is it because his proposals were not heard? Or because Édouard Philippe continues to be a sort of "safe haven"? In both cases, the former prime minister would be wrong to deprive himself of these supports but should anticipate their removal – which will lower his good polls – when he really sets out for 2027.

The boss of the National Rally continues his ascent and settles in 3rd place, just behind Marine Le Pen and Édouard Philippe. Jordan Bardella (37%, 3), like Marine Le Pen (45%, 11), is increasingly appealing to right-wing supporters. A good omen before the Europeans of June 2024.

Global warming requires, one could have imagined that the boss of Europe Ecology-The Greens is at the top of the barometer ranking. Doom! It's quite the opposite: Marine Tondelier is dead last with only 4%! Far behind Yannick Jadot (17%), even Sandrine Rousseau (10%).