"Bavaria's folk festival bubbles" - The current corona numbers explained for you

56,715 Corona cases were reported to the RKI yesterday.

Compared to the previous week, there was an increase of eleven percent – ​​although no cases were registered from Thuringia.

This is now the tenth working day in a row with an increase compared to the previous week. The beginning of an autumn wave is becoming increasingly clear.

The 7-day average of new cases has risen from 28,411 to 34,118 since its interim low 14 days ago.

This corresponds to an increase of 20 percent.

The dynamics of the infection process tend to increase further.

However, it is nowhere near as strong as in previous waves of infection.

The nationwide 7-day incidence increases today from 259 to 265.

It falls in six of the 16 federal states, including (of course) Thuringia, where there was a reporting breakdown (or reporting strike).

In a week-on-week comparison, only Berlin, along with Thuringia, shows a decline.

NRW, which was recently in the red, is now also reporting growth.

In the past few weeks, folk festivals in Bavaria have repeatedly been accompanied by a very significant increase in the incidence of corona.

In the districts of Kronach (“Freishooting”), Dachau (“Volksfest”), Straubing-Bogen (“Gäubodenfest”) and Weißenburg-Gunzenhausen (“Kirchweih”), the rise started shortly after the end of the festival (marked here with black dots). ).

What followed in each case was a doubling to tripling of the incidence within six to ten days.

After that, however, the incidence in all cases began to fall again. In three of the four cases, the festival was a good four weeks ago, and in all three the district incidence is currently below the level of the Free State of Bavaria as a whole.

So it seems quite possible that the Oktoberfest in Munich, which started on Saturday, will only trigger a temporary incidence bubble – and no sustainable infection dynamics.

90 corona deaths were reported to the RKI yesterday, 56 fewer than a week ago.

In total, we are at 236 deceased in the current week.

Every day we hear the new Corona case numbers. But what do they mean, where are we in the pandemic and what is the trend? Olaf Gersemann explains and evaluates the current figures briefly and concisely - every morning anew.

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