impeachment is a legal process. It is the speech of witnesses and of evidence, of crimes and of cross-questioning. In fact, an Impeachment is not a court, but in Congress: The house of representatives can levy with a simple majority of charges against a President, the Senate is by a two-thirds majority vote on guilt or innocence.
There are politicians who decide – politicians, need to think of their own re-election. Your guide, also if you admit the rare, the public opinion.
for this reason, both Democrats as well as Republicans, have a look in these days even more precisely to the polls than usual. Almost daily, a new survey, in which Americans are asked their attitude to a Impeachment of Donald Trump appears. A good month after the beginning of the process, a differentiated and partly contradictory picture shows.
what is exactly asked?
This also has to do with the survey institutes are often mixed to different things, but in the media coverage. So the participants in our many surveys are asked whether they support the "ongoing investigation" by the house of representatives – which is not the same as the question of whether someone is in favour of the prosecution and/or the actual dismissal of the President.
clearly visible is the difference in the new survey, which was conducted by J. Ann Selzer is one of the most prestigious Demoskop in the USA.
According to this survey, 81 percent of Americans find that it was not appropriate to raise with foreign governments election campaign help – what is the core of the Impeachment proceedings against Trump. This view self 81 percent of Republicans share.
Only 42 percent of Americans also Trump be indicted and removed from office.
But when it comes to what this means, in the case of Trumps, and the Ukraine affair, the picture looks different. A relative majority of 48 percent support the congressional investigation. However, only 42 percent of Americans also Trump be indicted and removed from office. 44 percent are opposed to this step.
Overall, the proportion of the Impeachment advocates has increased since the beginning of the Ukraine affair on all of the surveys. According to an Index of the web magazine FiveThirtyEight 47.5 percent of the respondents for the prosecution and impeachment of the President is in favour, an average of 43.6 percent are opposed. This is a relative majority, but it is not also large.
It looks different than last year
a year ago, the leadership of the Democrats said that an Impeachment only come into question if a substantial part of the trailer Trumps was convinced. Not today, however, the speech. According to the FiveThirtyEight Index, just 11 percent of Republican supporters and called for an impeachment of the President. In the case of independent voters with no party loyalty, the proportion is 46 percent.
The number of Impeachment supporters in the national polls is considerably higher than in the Swing States.
in Addition, the number of Impeachment supporters in the national polls is considerably higher than in the Swing States, those States that decide the outcome of the elections. According to a survey by the New York Times and Siena College in six States, the Trump elected in 2016 just shows that only 44 percent are in favor of removing the President from office.
52 percent are against it. In the state of Wisconsin is only 44 percent, according to a survey by the Marquette University for impeachment of the President, 51 percent disapprove of you. In Florida, 42 percent of the Impeachment supporters, and 53 percent opposing it.
surveys in Florida and Wisconsin show that just over half want the President still in office: Donald Trump in the White House. Photo: Joshua Roberts (Reuters)
change of Opinion in the Republicans needed
Without a drastic change of Opinion, especially in the case of Republican voters, it seems currently very unlikely that it will be in the Senate, enough Republicans that would vote to any charges against Trump for a dismissal. Rather, the democratic members in competitive districts Ensure that they could be punished for their attitude.
Democrats hope that the further progress of investigation is bringing a rising support. Next week, the Opposition has offered, in addition, a number of new witnesses to the hearing. To appear, among others, John Bolton, until recently National security adviser to Trump.
Created: 31.10.2019, 16:55 PM