a confirmation of the intelligence services is missing, but it looks very much as if, as was reported several times already declared dead leader of the terrorist militia Islamic state (IS). Russia wanted to have killed Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi in an air RAID near Raqqa, the US-led military coalition, according to the self-appointed Caliph with air strikes, drones and special forces.
It is so spectacular, that the Prince of Terror a few weeks after the military defeat and the end of its Proto-state with a fairly lavishly produced and staged Video is back. It is the first film recording of him, since he had proclaimed at the beginning of the fasting month of Ramadan in July, 2014 in the Nuri mosque of Mosul to be a terrorist Caliphate.
response to trump's triumph howl
Baghdadi has, with few exceptions, the largest caution in the use of electronic equipment by him, the high-tech scout of the foreign armies would have been able to locate. Such a Video carries with it, even if it is published with weeks of delay, valuable information – and thus a significant risk. It is obvious to suggest that Baghdadi understands the military defeat of his organization in Syria as a crucial turning point, however, in a completely different way than, for example, Donald Trump, declared the IS premature and out of political Motivation, already defeated.
The Video as a response to trump's triumph howl to read, but at the same time as a message to those within the terrorist militia, the car bodies after the military defeat in Syria claim to leadership Baghdadi's question. You accuse him to have with his boundless cruelty of the Caliphate willfully in the destruction.
proof of ability to act
Baghdadi, he is really demonstrating that he is not cut off or isolated. He has access to information on what is Happening in the world. And he welcomes the terrorist attacks and the faithful declarations of jihadist groups in Libya, Burkina Faso and Mali. So he wants to prove ability to act and his Position at the top of a functioning command structure affirm.
This may be a propaganda staging, however, attacks in the States of the Sahel are already reported for several months of increasingly-Zone. There new cells are produced, in Egypt and on the Arabian Peninsula it is also again and again to attacks. The patterns are similar, especially in the Sahel to those of the time of origin of the IS in Iraq and Syria. There, the organization has lost their territory, but they continue to exist as an underground organization. They will try to regenerate, and as well as in the Sahel, vast deserts offer a space where their own laws apply, and the already weak Central government has little access, let alone control.
Lessons from the war in Iraq
this is Exactly why it would be foolish to finish the fight against the IS. Once the Americans had decimated with superior fire power of its predecessor organisation in Iraq, with a few Hundred fighters. But the jihadists had the longer breath. They waited for the retreat, fired the internal frictions between the ethnic and religious groups, buildings, and clandestine structures, collected weapons and money and, too often, not only by patrons, but by organised crime, such as extortion.
The state of the state in Iraq and Syria, but also Libya and many African countries offers good conditions, the repeat infiltration strategies. The Caliph speaks of a war of attrition that will last until the day of judgment. This may sound to Western ears, bombastic, downright megalomaniac. But jihadists see in the attacks on mosques in new Zealand sign that your strategy is beneficial. Imagine yourself in an apocalyptic battle.
ideology and radicalisation machine
The Islamic state has proven time and again his ability to change. It will continue to exist as a Hybrid of a hull with combat experience, the militiamen, as an underground organization and, as a global terrorist Franchise network, but also as an ideology and radicalisation, machine, how, in the Wake of the attacks in Sri Lanka has shown.
The Video is a sign of life of the dead: This applies to Baghdadi as the Islamic state. And it would be foolish to repeat the mistakes of the past, and this struggle to dismiss the announcement as mere Propaganda of a desperate loser who is fighting against its demise. (Editorial Tamedia)
Created: 30.04.2019, 16:47 PM