Nancy Pelosi, the powerful speaker of the house of representatives and, thus, the top Democrat in the country, it has made this week, officially: it gave the judiciary Committee the order to charge points, so-called "Articles of Impeachment" against the US President, Trump up. In this state, the investigations were to be expected, but still historic announcement.
the basis for The indictment, especially the report of the intelligence Committee. The had heard in the past few weeks, 17 witnesses, twelve of them in public. And – to the extent that it had to allow the Trump-government – evidence of spotted material.
The witness statements have yet confirmed all the guesses: Donald Trump has abused his Power as President of the United States to urge Ukraine, public investigations against his political rival Joe Biden to be announced. The acceptance of an advantage in the office, bribery, abuse of office, which are in about the allegations, the charge of the Democrats now. This obstruction of the work of the Congress not because the US government is cooperating on trump's statement to the house of representatives, and subpoenas ignored.
The whole procedure is similar to a police investigation with a subsequent prosecution and court proceedings. For the evidence to the specialist committees of the house of representatives are responsible. In this case, was and the intelligence Committee is the lead. Mainly because of the Whistleblower who has brought the Ukraine affair started, to come out of the secret service milieu.
The five committees summarize their findings in Reports, which they handed over to the judiciary Committee. This happened last Tuesday. Although not necessarily exhaustive. Adam Schiff, the democratic Chairman of the intelligence Committee, has reserved the right, further investigation results in a follow-up to should result in which.
Trump refused, so far, the cooperation
The judiciary Committee will now take over the role of the public Prosecutor's office, which checks the legal basis, the evidence according to files, and then the indictment, drafted the Articles of Impeachment. On Wednesday four of the Jura-based professors in front of the Committee. Three of the Democrats invited. One of the Republicans. Accordingly, the recommendations were: Three have spoken out vehemently in favour of Trump accuse. The guest of the Republicans was against it. The evidence is much too thin.
Next Monday, there will be a further hearing. This time, the legal counsel of the investigations involved committees will present the results of the investigation orally. Committee-lawyers for the Democrats and the Republicans are there to act as witnesses. Special attention must be placed on the democratic lawyer Daniel Goldmann, of the intelligence Committee a lot of time to put questions to the witnesses. Goldman was a Prosecutor in New York and there among other things with large Mafia cases. With his razor-sharp questions and Demands, he has brought the Committee a lot of the tools out. And so on Monday to be very precise, the evidence against the Trump present.
At his side is likely to sit Steve Castor, who has been working since 2005 for the Republicans in Congress. Monday is an interesting day, because then, presumably, the report of the Ministry of justice on the role of the FBI in the Russia affair is published. The FBI had taken in 2016 in the middle of the US election campaign, the investigation into the question of whether Trump or his Team with Russia to work together to win the election in 2016.
The Republicans now hope to find in the report evidence for your Thesis, it's a conspiracy had been in progress. The report could also have an impact on the Impeachment process, because it may also results of the report of special investigator Robert Mueller incorporated. The had investigated the Russia-affair beginning in may of 2017, and many found evidence that Trump may have the obstruction of Justice guilty of. To bury, inter alia, because he has fired at the beginning of may in 2017, the former FBI chief, James Comey, allegedly by the Russia-investigations.
What exactly is happening after Monday, can therefore only assume. So much seems certain: Until Christmas, the house of representatives will vote on impeachment. To accomplish this, you must write to the justice Committee, the prosecution points to a. And on the other, with the majority in the plenary on the send. This should be happening no later than the middle of next week.
it is Unknown so far, whether in the judiciary Committee, and the new witnesses to be heard. The Republicans want to hear in any case, the whistleblowers themselves. And also Adam Schiff, whom they accuse of unfair behavior. Both have been rejected by the Democrats, already, what can this do that. You have the majority in the house of representatives and in all committees. You determine the questions of all procedures.
there Should be no further hearings would be Monday is also the last opportunity for Trump to appear in Committee and to ask questions. The President, however, has not agreed to do this. Or at least send the lawyers as representatives. He can use either his lawyers in the White house. Theoretically, he could send his personal lawyers in the hearing. The could ask the witnesses questions, and exculpatory Material present.
In the new year is the Senate on the train
so Far, the have handled all of the presidents so, the Impeachment proceedings has made it into the judiciary Committee. Trump has decided so far against it. On Wednesday his lawyers were not present. Whether this will be on Monday, so is still open. It would, however, collide with the Trumps of the basic decision, that his government is working in any way with the house of representatives in the Impeachment case.
That could change, if in the new year, the Impeachment ends up in the Senate. The Senate then takes over in the process, the role of the court, with the 100 senators as judges. You need to vote on whether Trump will be convicted, and thus removed from office. A Two-thirds majority is necessary. To condemn Trump all Democrats and 20 Republicans would have to vote for it. So far, not a single Republican has let cher Senator realize that he might be willing to vote with the Democrats.
There are, of course, also an accusation and a defense. The role of the prosecutors is likely to be representative of the house of representatives, especially the Chairman of the judiciary Committee and the intelligence Committee. The role of the defenders could take on the lawyers from the Trump. But if it comes to that, is still not clear.
the Republicans are, Because in the Senate in the majority, they are the masters of the procedure. You could, for example, called witnesses, if you wish. So about the Democrats Adam Schiff, the Whistleblower, or Hunter Biden. The son of the Ex-US Vice President and democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden throw to have crooked shops in the Ukraine. The accusations are based on unsubstantiated conspiracy theories that have, according to research of various media originating in Russia.
With their majority, the Republicans could, in the Senate the procedure is, however, a quick end to it, and have it about immediately as unfounded. Especially the views that the Democrats get 20 Republicans to their side, is extremely low.
As long as the Senate is the Impeachment to a final vote on the ferment, is primarily a political question. It is of use to Trump, then it can take. It hurt him, then it is likely to be quickly over.
Listen to the latest episode of the podcast "decision-making in 2020" with a United States correspondent, Alan Cassidy and Philip also on Spotify or iTunes.
Created: 07.12.2019, 16:16 PM