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Coronavirus: France, Italy, Germany, Spain: the difference in Europe the spread is of 9-10 days
the PARIS - On the curve of the propagation of the coronavirus, France is located at the point where it was the Italy ten days ago. The latest newsletter beyond the Alps, released yesterday register 1784-infected and 33 deaths: in terms of victims corresponds to the release of the civil protection of the 1 march (34 died, 1577 infected). Germany is still a little bit behind the curve if you count the deaths (only two), but is similar to France on the number of infected (1622). With 1978 positive to the virus, and 47 deaths, Spain is a bit more forward in spreading, is in the situation photographed by us on the 2nd of march.

Nine, ten days. This is the time difference in the propagation of the epidemic that separates Italy from other european countries. Ten days in which we, the epidemic has begun to gallop, it has gone from 34 631 victims. And, unfortunately, is not yet over. "After France, Italy?" you ask today's on the first page of Libération. The time lag explains why in France and even more Germany are not yet taken the red zones and closures of schools in general, and other restrictions. An attitude that to us now is incomprehensible, and yet let us remember: until ten days ago there was talk of reopening Milan, the guys continued to go to school, the government fought that the italians could move around freely outside the boundaries. Today, the frontier is not to be exceeded is that of the house.

Ten days can be an eternity. the Emmanuel Macron continues to repeat: "Block all not needed at this time. For now there will be measures as in Italy". For now, in fact. It is an approach that is cynical that the tip only to save the business? "Many epidemiologisti tell us that block all can create the effects of panic and other consequences that exacerbate the epidemic," says the French Health minister Olivier Véran . Neurologist training, Véran has made a drawing on live tv to explain what is the government's strategy: avoid a spike of cases in a limited period of time, as happened in Italy, for dilazionarli in time so as not to collapse the health care system.

Is the same metaphor that he used Angela Merkel . Flatten the curves, flatten the curve of the epidemic. The question obviously is, but why France and Germany should be able to do what has not happened in Italy? You can hope that the French health system, which is run directly by the State - is more ready to face the shock wave. The government of Paris has had a few days in advance for to prepare with respect to Italy. All true. The French authorities, however, were those that after Chernobyl they said that the atomic cloud would stop at the border, not to mention the Maginot line that was supposed to keep away enemies at the gates. The next days will be decisive to understand if the curve or French, or German, is steeper as the Italian one. And then you can really begin to make comparisons between the various european countries.

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Carlo Verdelli SUBSCRIBERS TO REPUBLIC © Reproduction reserved Today on a Ten days to prevent the collapse: the curve of cases now scared of the Vaccine anti-coronavirus: ready the first vial, but to use it you need at least a year, The enemy and the empty listening Room between attacks, and to the fans. In Milan-upside-down is already thinking about the reconstruction
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