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Midtjylland set to walk away as Danish Super League champion

Repeating their league successes from the 2018 class won’t be easy for the Danish dark horses. Still, Midtjylland is now boasting thirteen from fourteen away games won this season, which is in actual-fact - is a higher percentage than when playing on home turf.

After last season’s miserable ending, Midtjylland has kept clear of one too many drawn results which cost them the title last season by one point. Revenge is on the card when playing the current champions Copenhagen, last year they were able to win the league title by one point, a win by Midtjylland in their upcoming fixture would all but secure the league title.

The statistical presence of Midtjylland away from home should give them more than enough confidence to secure the title; they currently sit in first place with an 8 point lead from their rivals Copenhagen. Earlier this season, the first piece of revenge was when Midtjylland defeated Copenhagen on home turf 4-1 in front of their supporters. Post coronavirus won’t allow the return fixture to hold a live crowd in attendance. Still, we’ve seen the Danish use a new method of allowing cars to park outside the stadium and view the match, not quite the same, but atmosphere nevertheless.

The difference between this current season and last years becomes apparent when stumbling upon the league table. Midtjylland have been more influential in defence, allowing just eighteen goals to date, while Copenhagen has already exceeded last season’s 23 goals they conceded with 31 goals put past them this season.

It will be no surprise to see that SBR is in full support of Midtjylland becoming this year’s titleholders at a steep price of -2000; to put that in perspective, you’d need to gamble 2000 Euros to win 100. It’s safe to say, and only a complete meltdown would prevent Midtjylland from lifting the trophy.

Odds by SBR

The bookmaker’s price, however, shouldn’t be given a second thought. The meltdown could happen, and you’d have to be an incredible immoral even to consider betting that insane number.

Midtjylland vs Copenhagen – the next fixture for Midtjylland will come up against the team which cost them last season, and it would be bitter-sweet it the league winning game came up against Copenhagen. A 4-2 win for Midtjylland combined with their undefeated away record should give them a significant mental advantage.

Copenhagen took a draw from Brondby the last time they played, now five games undefeated they could be making the push a little too late. With that said, AFG defeated Midtjylland, making the point difference between first and second place becomes a little shorter, and they have failed to win at the Telia Parken in their previous six visits.

I think Copenhagen could halt Midtjylland and their title hopes a little longer, at the same time I envision Midtjylland recruiting the points they need to win the title with six fixtures and an 8 points lead. Copenhagen has an excellent home record when facing Midtjylland; taking five of the previous six games played in Copenhagen. If we pair that up with Copenhagen’s current form, they hold the Recency-bias advantage over the league leaders. Midtjylland have suffered two defeats and produced one draw in their last five games, a cause for concern when playing on Copenhagen territory.

I wouldn’t expect a high scoring game; a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline would make sense, given that the league title could potentially be at risk. Both teams have seen low scoring fixtures since the return, 67% of Midtjylland games have been under the total.

Copenhagen will need to back up their defence, their allowed 30 goals this season has been a problem and if anybody capitalises, Midtjylland will; especially with a mere four goals conceded while on the road this season.

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