"There is a lull in the conflict between India and Pakistan after the latest days of bombing, aerial combat and shelling across the border."
"Now, the government of India to decide about the attacks on pakistani territory have been enough of a deterrent, according to an expert."
"– the Ball is now with India's prime minister Narendra Modi, says Samuel Bergenwall, a security analyst at the Swedish Defence research institute."
"– From an indian perspective the question is whether one has done enough to deter Pakistan from that in the future, to support or tolerate terrorgrupperingar acting from Pakistan into indiskkontrollerade Kashmir," he said."
"Samuel Bergenwall see several signs that the conflict is about to be scaled back, mainly that of the captured indian pilot has been returned to India, but also Pakistan has opened up parts of the sky. Not least, this indicates a de-escalation that India has not responded militarily in Pakistan's aerial bombardment, which in turn was a revenge for India's attack against extremistgruppen Jaish-e-Muhammad's camps in the pakistani part of Kashmir."
"Political rhetoric complicates"
"the Matter is complicated by the parliamentary elections later in the spring. The ruling party BJP has criticised the opposition Congress party for having been too timid against pakistani extremist groups for previous attacks in India, when the BJP was in the opposition."
"– Now when they are in power, they must stand for his word, and to present some form of response to mean that Pakistan supports terrorists in Kashmir. The recent events associated with several other incidents that have occurred over the last few years, " says Bergenwall."
"According to Samuel Bergenwall, it is a general perception in the scientific community that India has the right in its claim that Pakistan supports the Jaish-e-Muhammad and other extremist groups through his security service. Part of the reason for the aid is that Pakistan has a weaker military power than India, and therefore the use of groups in a kind of covert warfare, another part is that the security forces need the threat from India to maintain power internally, according to the Bergenwall."
"– It is likely that they get the permission to act and be in Pakistan. As we know, there is the al-Qaidaledaren Osama bin Laden in the country, " he says."
" India has recurring criticises the fact that the Jaish-e-Muhammad leader Masood Azhar is allowed to move freely in Pakistan even if he is set up on the terrorlistor. It is something that India wants to get out of the conflict, Pakistan to hand over Azhar and others who India sees as terrorists."
"14 February: at Least 40 members of India's paramilitary security forces are killed in a suicide attack outside the city of Srinagar in the indiskkontrollerade part of Kashmir. The Pakistanbaserade islamistgrupperingen Jaish-e-Mohammad says to be behind the deed. The attack is the deadliest directed against the indian security forces in two years."
"17: Indian authorities draws in polisskyddet for five muslim separatistledare in Kashmirregionen."
"18: Three persons suspected to be behind the självmordsdådet killed in battle with indian police and military. In addition, killed four soldiers, a policeman and a civilian."
"23: Indian authorities seizes over 100 separatists in a number of polisräder in Kashmir."
"24: Five persons were killed since the indian security forces encountered together with Jaish-e-Mohammed in Kashmirregionen."
"26: India said its air force attacked a camp of militant islamists who were in the process of preparing självmordsdåd against indian cities. According to the India killed 300 extremists in the attack, according to Pakistan killed no one."
"Pakistan say two women and two children were killed when indian shells hit civilian homes in pakistan's portion of Kashmir, and that ten civilians were injured."
"27: the Pakistan air force flies over the indiskkontrollerade part of Kashmir and radarlåser on indian targets, but the bombing only empty surfaces."
"Pakistan has said its air force shot down two indian fighter jets, but India only confirms a shooting. India claims that a pakistani jet fighters shot down, which is denied by Pakistan. Pakistan is taking an indian pilot prisoner who later shows up."
"28: Gunfire breaks again out between indian and pakistani forces across the border. Pakistan says that they are prepared to hand over the indian pilot as a fredsgest."
"march 1: Pakistan reopens in parts of the sky which has been closed since 27 February because of the conflict with India. The pilot handed over to the indian authorities."
"Source: AFP, Reuters, TT"