Nine days before the Berlin repeat election, the CDU is further ahead of the SPD and the Greens in a new poll. According to a ZDF political barometer published on Friday, she received 24 percent of the votes. The SPD reached 21 percent, the Greens are 18 percent. The left follows with 11, the AfD with 10 and the FDP with 6 percent. The other parties together come to 10 percent.
With such an election result, the governing majority of SPD, Greens and Left could theoretically continue their work. A Germany (CDU, SPD and FDP) and a Jamaica coalition (CDU, Greens, FDP) would also have a mathematical majority.
In a comparison with the other two surveys this year (infratest dimap from January 18 and February 2), the CDU came to 23 and 25 percent, the SPD to 18 and 19 percent, the Greens to 21 and 18 percent, the left to 11 and 12 percent, the AfD at 11 and 10 percent, the FDP at 6 percent each and the other parties together at 10 percent each. So you can read a slight upward trend in the SPD and a slight downturn in the Greens.
In the politbarometer question, who would you like to have as head of government, the governing mayor Franziska Giffey (SPD) is with a rather weak 36 percent ahead of the CDU top candidate Kai Wegner with 23 percent and transport and environment senator Bettina Jarasch from the Greens with 15 percent. The remaining 26 percent answered the question with "don't know", "don't know" or "none of them".
As is usual with city-states, state politics plays a much greater role for respondents in voting decisions (71 percent) than federal politics (25 percent). Accordingly, the political agenda is also dominated by urban issues: 39 percent named the housing market and rents as the most important political problem, followed by “transport” (34 percent) and “education/schools” (17 percent). Then come the topics of energy/climate and crime (10 percent each).
In the 2021 House of Representatives election, the SPD had achieved 21.4 percent. The Greens were in second place with 18.9 percent, followed by the CDU with 18.0 percent. At that time, the left received 14.1 percent, the AfD 8.0 and the FDP 7.1 percent. Because of the many errors and problems with the election, the Berlin Constitutional Court ordered a complete repetition.