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UK : betting offices hold early Brexit unlikely

football, Rugby, Tennis in the United Kingdom is betting. The appeal: No one can know before the game, how it turns out. This is also true for the Brexit. Everything is open.

That puts the bookmaker in the betting offices. "There is no precedent, there is no formula that could tell us how high the probabilities," said recently an employee of the British betting company Ladbrokes, the "Wall Street Journal".

1.3 million euros for Brexit-bets

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is understandable. The betting firms were wrong. Before the Brexit vote in 2016 there was a betting Boom in the Kingdom. The bookmakers were sure that the majority of the British people for the whereabouts would vote in the EU. It came to be known to be different.

Prime Minister Theresa May on Tuesday by the British under the house the green light for the Brexit Deal with the EU, is regarded as almost excluded. Only by a miracle, they could reach a majority.

For the bets of the Brexit agrees nevertheless. Under the policy of the EU operations is the best seller in the UK betting offices exit. The equivalent of more than 1.3 million euros, the British alone in December the world's biggest Online betting providers "Betfair" to the question, whether the British Parliament will vote for the Brexit Deal.

Brexit until the end of March is unlikely

Currently, the great British book holder to offer bets on the time plan for the EU exit: to the Right of the British Parliament until the end of January a Brexit Deal? The traditional betting shop, William Hill, the since the 1930s in the game business, the probability is estimated at 13 percent.

another question is: is Leaving the UK really on schedule at the end of March the EU? Really believe, you can not the. According to the website the probability for timely EU, the British exit at 20 per cent.

a second Referendum?

Or the Brexit may still stop? Also on the British betting about the question of a second Referendum? The chances are at 38 percent, say the bookies. And how high is the probability that a second referendum would bring a majority against Brexit? The is, according to the company William Hill at 22 percent.

Equal to the chances of Brexit is blown off until the end of March. Around 25 percent probability William Hill sees that to 29. In March, the invocation of the EU-article 50 of the EU Treaty "revoked" is made – so to undo.

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That head of government Theresa May for the time being in office may hold, the hold, the bookmaker, however, for the relatively likely. On the question of whether May for Brexit the Prime Minister remains, the chances are, according to the after all, there are more than 66 percent.

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