According to this ”exit poll”, which was published just after voting ended on Sunday evening, may Zelenskyj 30.4 per cent of the votes, while the Porosjenko may 17.8 per cent. It is the two that gets the most votes moves on to the second round, which means that Tymoshenko with its 14.2 percent are gone from the deck.
It is not absolutely sure that this vallokalsundersökning – surveyed voters until 18 local time (two hours before but closing) – will be confirmed when the actual election results will be published on Monday.
But the figures, unveiled by the opinionsstiftelsen Democratic initiative, agree very well with the latest polls, where the Zelenskyj has consistently had a clear lead over the other candidates. In addition, this survey is very comprehensive with 17,000 voters surveyed.
have strong objections: it does not recognize the national vallokalsundersökningen, but refers to its own investigation. According to the received Zelenskyj 27 percent, Tymoshenko 20,9 and Porosjenko is 17.5.
If it is closer to the results of the election, it would mean that Porosjenko is knocked out, while Zelenskyj brought against Tymoshenko in the second round.
Against this speaks to the national vallokalsundersökningen usually hit the right.
Volodymyr Paniotto, head of the Kiev sociological institute, says to DN that the election results are not expected to deviate from the vallokalsundersökningen by more than 2 percentage points for each candidate. It could, theoretically, threaten Porosjenko - if he gets 2 percent less, and Tymosjeko 2 per cent more as she has gone about him.
" But closer to six per cent of the electorate, including the military, those who are in prison and those who vote at home, has not been consulted in this exit poll. And especially in the military learn Porosjenko get great support, he is popular there because he he invested a lot on defense, " says Volodymyr Paniotto.
voters have been undecided who to vote for, and many decided at the last moment, surveys show. This uncertainty was confirmed by several voters I spoke with in Kiev during the election day.
The voters, the politically untested Zelenskyj mainly has managed to gather up is to a large extent missnöjesröster and young people, who are tired of the old guard of the rocky oligarchs and the huge corruption. For these problems is Porosjenko one of the main symbols.
When Zelenskyj added his voice he said just that corruption is his absolute focus in the election.
managed to fulfill its promises from the election in 2014 to reclaim the parts of Ukraine that Russia in violation of international law annexed the (peninsula Crimea) or took control of (in the Donbass).
Tymoshenko's campaign took aim at economic grievances, especially among the elderly and poor, but seems to not have been able to get a broader support.
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