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Pia Gripenberg: Theresa May survived by a whisker

the British parliament voted by a wide margin, requesting that the Brexit is postponed, 412 votes against 202. More exciting was a proposal from a group of parliamentarians. The proposal was that they would take over and run the Brexitfrågan, not the government, to reach a consensus on what the united kingdom wants for agreements with the EU.

Photo: PRU/AFP

the Parliamentarians ' proposal lost by 312-314. Two votes! If parliamentarians won is likely to have had the british moved towards a softer Brexit, for example, a customs union with the EU.

More worried about many of the brexitörerna become. As the polling progressed during the week, it is increasingly clear to them that their Brexit, without a contract, are run. They must now begin to think about Theresa Mays negotiated settlement with the EU, after all, is to be preferred.

the Risk, as seen from the brexitörernas point of view, is that the Uk ends up in a customs union with the EU. It argues the Labour party to support more moderate Toryledamöter. Even from the small northern ireland party, the DUP, the government's backers, will signals that you can connect to the Mays agreements.

Much talk, thus, to the prime minister, May try to get a third vote on their agreement in the beginning of next week, before she heads to the summit in Brussels in order to meet their 27 EU counterparts.

Theresa May. Photo: Tim Ireland/AP

With or without the consent of their own parliament, she will request that the Brexit is postponed.

If Brexit should be delayed, and for how long, decides the EU27. They must be united and is expected to leave his vengeance on the summit 21-22 march.

EUROPEAN commission president Jean-Claude Juncker that the Uk's withdrawal must be complete prior to may 23. Then it starts to Elections when polling stations in the Netherlands open. Sweden to vote on 26 may.

”If the Uk left the European union, the law requires that you hold those elections,” wrote Jean-Claude Juncker, in a letter to Donald Tusk.

Donald Tusk is the president of the European council and which coordinates the work of EU heads of state and government. He seems to have a different view than Juncker. On twitter wrote Tusk on Thursday, a few hours before the vote in London that he wants the heads of state and government is open to granting the british a long extension.

https://twitter.com/eucopresident/status/1106115929539334144

the main argument is that many EU countries find it difficult to see how the british should be able to solve their problems in just a few weeks. It will be a longer period, the space, for example parliamentary elections or a referendum that could change the playing field.

the post is seen as pressure on the british to come together.

minister for EU affairs, His Dahlgre says to DN that a short extension is based on Theresa May to urgently get through a decision in their parliament.

In any case, the british did not expect to get a short extension, which then are replaced by new periods in order to avoid a hard Brexit. The EU will go along with it. Theresa May wants to for the other not have it.

is that the total lock-in that is between the prime minister May, the Labour party leader Jeremy Corbyn. They absolutely can not negotiate with each other. What is a clash of personalities or what is partitaktik is difficult to say. The latter is probably mostly for Theresa May. She would move closer to the Labour party risks conservative the Tories to crack.

Professor Tony Travers, London School of Economics, believe that it is possible to reach an agreement between Labour and the Tories on Brexit in the european parliament.

– Many of the parliamentarians have more in common with each other than with their respective parties. They want to protect their own constituency, have a softer Brexit and avoid a avtalslöst exit, " he says to the BBC.

Travers also believe that, locally in northern Ireland is the pressure hard on the conservative DUP to change their minds and vote for Theresa Mays agreements. Earlier in the week published by the government in London which customs duties shall apply if the Uk leaves the EU without the agreement. The duties will also strike against the entrepreneurs and farmers in northern Ireland.

in the shadow of the drama in London, there has been talks between the DUP's leader, Arlene Foster, and the Irish prime minister, mr Leo Varadkar. They both are right now in Washington. That they met is perhaps the most promising this week when it comes to the solution on the Brexitknuten.

Read more: Seven scenarios – it can happen now in the Uk

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