Update 2018-02-18 16.37. The article has caused a correction.
When the european Parliament presents its first public opinion poll for the EUROPEAN elections in may, the Brexit through in the numbers. The party groups in the parliament, which has many uk members may also see significant reductions. For example, the social democrats (Labour party), greens (Green Party) and the conservatives (the Tories).Link to the graphics
the expected number of liberal members increase as well as those on the right, especially the German AFD, the Italian Lega, and French National collection (Marine Le Pen's party).
the opinion poll shows that the Italian northern league, Matteo Salvini as a leader, can become the second largest party with 27 members. Only the German ELECTION, where Angela Merkel recently resigned as party leader, has more with its 29 members.
How the distribution is between the political groupings is yet highly uncertain. For example, are not included Emmanuel Macrons A Marche in any grouping, but is classified in the group of other. In addition, the Italian Femstjärnerörelsen flagged to leave his right-wing populist group to form a brand new group with like-minded people.
a bleak reading for MP, L and Fi, as everyone would go out of parliament if there were elections today.
the Green party valledare Annica Hjerling, type in a text message to the DN that the measurement ”does not feel particularly reliable”.
”at Least with regard to Sweden, it is based solely on what people said they would vote for if there was an election in the parliament. MP tend to have significantly higher results in the EU elections than in the parliamentary elections,” writes Hjerling and adds that she expects the same trend in the year.
With fewer Swedish parties would the 21 seats reserved for Sweden to do to all the remaining parties increases. SD would go from two to four members, while KD, C, and V would all go from one to two members.
the Moderates and the social democrats would get an additional member each, where S is becoming the most with seven.
the european Elections has historically offered many surprises where new parties as the June list and the Pirate party were elected. In the EU parliament's own forecast there are no indications that a new party can turn into, but the choice is first on 26 may.
Today's survey is based on measurements that have been made in the last two weeks of the EU's remaining 27 member states. The next survey is presented about two weeks.
Correction: In an earlier version of this article stated the wrong numbers for the KD.Link to the graphics
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