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Martin Gelin: Hard legal battle waiting on the national state of emergency

To Trump announces a state of national emergency may be considered as a substantial step in the authoritarian direction for the united states. It will immediately have legal consequences for the Trump and the White house.

Democratic leaders in congress have made clear that they will wage war against the Trumps decision with all legal means. Chuck Schumer, the Democratic president of the senate, called Trump's action ”lawless”. Congressman Jerrold Nadler, a democrat from New York, calling it “a blatant abuse of power” and promised to sue the president.

president of the united states Donald Trump. Photo: Evan Vucci/AP

the department of Justice has warned Donald Trump that his attempt to declare a state of emergency can be stopped by the courts, which can prevent the implementation of the plan to pay for gränsmuren. Trump believes that he will still emerge victorious from the legal battle, according to news channel ABC.

to divide the Republicans, then a small but important group of republicans do not seem ready to stand behind Trump on this issue. Senator Susan Collins, republican from Maine, called Trump's decision a “mistake”. Senator Marco Rubio said that it “sets a dangerous precedent“.

Two republican senators, Martha McSally of Arizona and John Cornyn of Texas, is facing re-election in 2020 and are in a particularly sensitive location. They are now forced to choose between criticizing the president or accept the fact that he uses a maneuver to seize private land along the border, to build gränsmuren.

in General, there are no popular support for the decision. In a compilation of opinion polls from the last few weeks, says 65 percent of americans that they are against it, while 32 percent are for it.

is that Trump failed in its most important election promise: to build a comprehensive wall along the U.S.'s southern border and get Mexico to pay for it. He has promised this literally more than 200 times, but congress has refused to fund it.

For Trump, it was impossible to accept that gränsmuren not funded in the new budget agreement, but he had yet to write in it because the alternative would have been to shut down the federal government again, which would have been even more politically damaging. During the winter myndighetskris fell Trumps confidence figures among independent voters from 39 to 30 per cent.

that left only this controversial measure to build the great wall. If he not done this, would his kärnväljare probably have been disappointed. Opinion polls during the winter also clearly demonstrates that the american people see Trump as the weaker party in the negotiations on the myndighetskrisen.

In a recent survey from the conservative Fox News said 45 per cent to Nancy Pelosi seemed to be stronger than Donald Trump in the negotiations, while just 35 percent said that the Trump seemed to be stronger.

this is mainly about trying to create an image of his political defeat during the negotiations, are not so serious. Mark Meadows, a conservative republican, described earlier in the week Trumps förhandlingsmetoder if gränsmuren as “a complete defeat” for the Republicans.

Trump now announces the state of national emergency in order to get through his most important projects is a sign of political weakness, disguised as strength, says the critics.

The legal process will be determined by whether or not the courts deem that Trump is a credible story of what he calls an acute crisis at the border. Where it is essential to the main argument in Trumps story based on untrue information.

In the century, the White house said Trump to the “probably never been more” immigrants coming over the southern border. In fact, gränsmyndigheternas figures for undocumented migrants arriving at the southern border, the lowest in more than 30 years. During the 1990s, there was often more than a million who was arrested at the border every year. The last few years there has been a third as many.

“I didn't have to do it here,” said Trump during the century.

The words can be turned against him when the legal process if the emergency begins now.

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