France : Macrons Billion Bet

The Frenchman Emmanuel Macron experienced on Monday night in an unfamiliar role. The head of state seemed almost a bit lost behind his huge Desk in Paris, the Elysee Palace, when he began his 13-minute speech with the words that the events of the past weeks "have deeply disturbed the Nation's deep". With the "events," said France's head of state, the ongoing protests of the "yellow West", the 40-Year-old mentioned in his speech, however, not a single Time.

Unusual was the performance of Macrons mainly because of the otherwise so lively speakers vorarbeitete more likely to be groping for the core of his designs. After five minutes, Macron said that in view of the protests in the country of the "economic and social emergency" will call. Then, four concrete measures, which should appease the "yellow West" was followed by an additional monthly payment of 100 Euro for minimum Wage, tax relief for pensioners, the financial incentives for Overtime and a bonus for workers at the end of the year. The latter should, however, apply only if the employer also participate.

the protesters want a re-introduction of the wealth tax

Two hours by car from Paris, François, had been posted with the "gilets jaunes" at a roundabout in the vicinity of Rouen, Macrons heard on Monday evening speech. The announcements of the President, said François, were "inadequate". The head of state had failed, the old Form of the property tax, which was also the share owner to re-introduce. "The movement will go on," the activist is convinced, "with many other people." The Embassy of François, who, like many other "yellow West" at the mention of his surname, was as follows: "We want to make all of the undo, what was done in the last 18 months."

45-degree swivel of the President

Since one and a half years, Macron ruled in the Elysee Palace. What he announced Monday evening, means at least a 45-degree pivot in its previous policy. Although it is not the great turning, as, for example, the then head of state, François Mitterrand became the king. The socialist, had nationalized after he took office in 1981, the first key industries. After two years, he ended his policy of the social welfare acts, and has implemented harsh austerity measures. For Macron, the situation is now exactly the other way: the President, The fleeced with its tax policy first, the persons with low income, wants to show himself as a social benefactor.

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Macron remains nothing else left, because his poll numbers are disastrous. Only 21 percent of French people support his policies. A corresponding survey, however, was collected before the master of the house in the Elysee Palace spoke on Monday to the Nation. Whether each of the measures to bring in the next few weeks, more money in the wallets of the French, can raise his popularity again, is uncertain.

the Same is also still open what will happen next Saturday in France. Macron relies on the fact that his speech is not only social, but also a turning point for the "yellow West"movement marked. On four Saturdays in a row, the "gilets jaunes" in Paris have demonstrated. The tragic climax of the riots, as the "casseurs", as it is called, the rampaging demonstrators in France, ahead of about a week, the arc damaged. Last Saturday, the police had the situation better in the handle, but in the capital were always counted at least 10,000 demonstrators.

the Macron is likely to suspect that he can't move the hard core of the "yellow vests" to relent. Instead, he sent it on Tuesday, his Prime Minister Edouard Philippe in the national Assembly, explained the Four-points-catalogue to promote the purchasing power in more detail. Philippe explained that Macrons Four-point Plan to follow the basic idea that "it must pay to work". Because immediately after the speech Macrons on Monday evening, the question was, how the additional payment for the minimum wage earners should be funded, the head of the government: "The increase in the minimum wage of 100 euros net is funded by the state."

That was not enough, however, to placate the many opponents of Macrons policy in the national Assembly. In terms of numbers, the representatives of the Opposition, the deputies of the government party "La République en Marche" far below, but they are even louder. So Mathilde Panot seized, for example, a Deputy of the left party "Wild France", the word, and accused Macron is simply the lie. The government's intention, in spite of the announcements of the President continue to be those of public services, to destroy provisions for the receipt of the "yellow West" took to the streets, she explained. "It is a shame that you despise the people", scolded Panot. And then to handle the demand of the "yellow West", the Macron won't meet: "Give us back the wealth tax."

Icy mood in the national Assembly

The mood, it hits the deputies of the government party "La République en Marche" in the national Assembly, frosty. But also outside the house life for some of the "En Marche"-the representative has become uncomfortable. Last weekend, the car of the Deputy Jacqueline Dubois was set in the southern French commune of Vézac in a fire. The head of government, Philippe said on Tuesday in the national Assembly, that for some years the public debate in France of insults and intimidation will be accompanied. "I don't want us to get used to it," added the head of government.

can be build If there is an opposition party, on the Macron in the national Assembly after his speech of Monday evening, at least to some extent, then, it is the Republicans – the conservative party, which introduced, among other things, with Nicolas Sarkozy between 2007 and 2012 the President. Sarkozy had been under the catchy slogan "work More to earn more" tax-introduced breaks for Overtime. That Macron revived now Sarkozy's measure is, naturally, the applause of the Republicans.

on the Other hand, the migration policy offers the Republicans a welcome opportunity to push the government to Close. In the debate on Tuesday, the conservative MP Claude Goasguen, there had been no discussion about the UN-migration Pact, which was adopted on Monday in the Moroccan city of Marrakech. "This Pact is not neutral", said Goasguen. There were in Parliament to applause from the Boss of the extreme right-wing Rassemblement National, Marine Le Pen. As the then Minister of state in the Department of European Affairs, Jean-Baptiste Lemoyne, a couple of things about the importance of the UN Migrationspakts just back, went to his remarks under the noise of the heckling from the Opposition.

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Europe Macrons fight, and Germany's contribution

Stephan-Andreas Casdorff

wouldn't all of this enough, Macron now also in Brussels under intense scrutiny since he made Monday night his announcements, which are struck with around ten billion euros. EU monetary Affairs Commissioner Pierre Moscovici stated on Tuesday, that the EU Commission will keep the potential impact on the French deficit. But this is not for the Macron is currently the main problem. First of all, he will have to wait and see what brings the upcoming weekend Protest.