Erik de la Reguera: Veknande brexitörer Mays's last hope

On Wednesday, there was Brexitdebatt in the british parliament again. Some crucial decisions were not taken this time, in addition to a spikande of the timetable, which May have already established and a call that the government should secure britters rights in the EU.

It is easy to make light of this eternal trätande in parliament about when, how and if the british should leave the EU. But in the last few weeks tröskande has still led to a lot of tangible results.

until recently, it was Theresa Mays official line that ”no deal is better than a bad agreement”. But if it is something that the debates in the british parliament has shown, it is that there is no majority for leaving the EU without an agreement.

the Bank of England and the second, independent role of economists scares has made its to the. As late as on Wednesday published a declassified government report, according to which a avtalslös Brexit, is expected to lead to the british economy will be between 6 and 9 per cent less of 15 years, compared to how big it would have been if it evolved normally.

the number of liberal members of the ruling party, the Tories – among them several ministers have persistently demanded that Theresa May should exclude a avtalslös Brexit. On Tuesday, they won an important delseger, then May promised that parliament will get to vote on whether to postpone the exit, if no agreement klubbats through 12 march.

It was this that was confirmed on Wednesday in a decision.

Thirteen days remains thus for May, if she wants to avoid that the parliament is given a free hand to shoot up the exit. A deferred Brexit must certainly be approved by the EU, but a shorter period of grace – perhaps until the end of June – will probably be accepted by EU leaders.

" I do not believe that the other governments in the EU has no economic or strategic interest in it becomes a chaotic EU exit for the Uk, said cabinet minister David Lidington on Wednesday.

now, almost gives the impression of having resigned, so there is still a small chance that May get through to an agreement in time. If she can return with adjustments in utträdesavtalet that satisfy the hard-brexitörerna in her party and the government of northern ireland was to some extent due DUP, can suddenly contract to get a yes.

Brexitörerna have also begun to soften slightly. They do not want EU exit is postponed, especially when they know that the support for a second referendum is growing in parliament. Monday gave Labourledningens its support to this idea.

– Those who want to procrastinate with the aim to completely stop the Brexit commit the biggest mistake a member can make, " said brexitören Jacob Rees-Mogg, whose faction demanded legally binding changes in the utträdesavtalet.

Now, says Rees-Mogg that it can go with any type of political clarification and a kind of end date for the so-called reservplanen for northern Ireland.

" I could live with that reservplanen de facto taken away... Then I think that it sets a clear end date, either in the agreement or annex, said Rees-Mogg is ambiguous.

It remains to be seen if it makes it possible for Theresa May to get through a skilsmässoavtal in parliament. Wise from experience, probably the prime minister does not hope too much.