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Erik de la Reguera: May have just a few weeks

”Trick or Deal?” (Bus or contracts?) it's going To be Theresa Mays new obsession in the british house of commons? Hardly. now, there will be new Brexitda

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Erik de la Reguera: May have just a few weeks

”Trick or Deal?” (Bus or contracts?)

it's going To be Theresa Mays new obsession in the british house of commons?


now, there will be new Brexitdatumet, know Theresa May that she must lead the country out of the EU much earlier than that, if she is to remain as prime minister.

even now requires parts of the brexitörfalangen in her party, the conservative party that she will depart before the summer. Avgångskraven will be more and considerably more vocal after easter.

Her only chance is probably to get the speed on the blocköverskridande talks with the leader of the opposition Labour party and to reach an agreement within the next few weeks. Labour votes are necessary to utträdesavtalet shall be approved by the parliament, as hundreds of hard-line brexitörer in the Tories and the government's samarbetsparti DUP will vote 'no'.

It leads to the question: why would Jeremy Corbyn like to save Theresa May?

the Prime minister's answer could be: to get to a ”softer” Brexit. And: in order to stop the extreme right.

for the EUROPEAN elections suggests that Tory support will be more than halved, while Nigel Farage new Brexitparti will receive more than 10 per cent. Even Farage last party Ukip – which is now on its way to becoming a purely home-grown fascist – can get upwards of 10 per cent.

The most stubborn brexitörerna, like Boris Johnson and Jacob Rees-Mogg, looks maybe just it as a possible excuse to get rid of May. But the broad mainstream of the conservative party are seriously concerned about the conservative party's future.

The fear can become Mays best friend – if she can finally get to an agreement with the Labour party.

for the prime minister to get a ”flexible” utträdesdatum, depends on when parliament votes yes to utträdesavtalet.

That May now assert that it is possible to avoid the Uk's participation in the EUROPEAN elections through to quickly make up with the Labour party, can make it possible to justify a for her painful concession: the objective of a customs union in the (non legally binding) political declaration on the future relationship with the EU.

It will not be easy. But it knew Theresa May when she took the job.

now the prime minister reiterated that the referendum result must be respected. But the prime minister has emphasised that she wants to see an orderly exit, with an agreement and a transitional period – and not a crash.

It utträdesavtal or ”skilsmässoavtal”, as it is sometimes also called – reached is really not much more than a division of property. In the regulated residual charges, citizens ' rights and a transition period that is supposed to make it possible to avoid the chaos of a avtalslös Brexit could mean.

the Crux of the matter has been – and still is – the border in Ireland.

the EU has demanded a guarantee, a back up plan, to the border of the island is to be kept open even in case of a breakdown in the next phase of the negotiations.

It has not brexitörfalangen in the ruling party, the Tories could accept. And neither the government of northern ireland, northern ireland, to some extent due DUP – who fear that reservplanen can be the first step towards northern Ireland incorporated in the republic of Ireland.

There has been no, no and no again in parliament.

the Lock-in is total. Will May be able to break it, she must act quickly and get to a blocköverskridande agreement with the Labour party.

But she only has a few weeks.

Read more: EU leaders agree – give the Uk time to October 31,

Read more: Pia Gripenberg: the EU's horror – Boris Johnson, replacing Theresa May

Read more: From the frying pan into the fire: this happens with Brexit now

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