Carl Johan von Seth: A resounding no lit also the hope of recollection

the Parliament's resounding no! prime minister Theresa Mays utträdesavtal in the vote on Tuesday was more devastating than expected. With just 202 votes to 430 ' no ' see it now in the dark out of the agreement with the EU.

financial Markets took the news with quiet. After the historic vote, the pound strengthened, perhaps unexpectedly, against both the euro and the dollar.

in the Face of defeat has Theresa May said that a no vote in the parliament may lead to the exit, the EU is set. The markets seem to share her assessment. The probability now increases for other solutions, and that the whole Brexithistorien pushed up and maybe running out of steam.

There are several possible ways forward. To utträdesdatumet – 29 march – shift and that Brexit is not getting off is one of them. A new referendum would, for example, be able to lead to it. A set of exit is likely to be the option that would give the most peaceful in the economy.

at the same time we have the disaster cycle. Almost all of the fear faced is a Brexit without agreement with the EU, which is what will happen if parliament does not manage to make any other decision. Trade in goods may suffer from hearty disorders. In particular the supply of food and medications is vulnerable.

With such a ”hard” Brexit there would be bottlenecks in the economy that could slow the companies properly. The uncertainty would also lead to a subdued domestic demand and less investment. The consequence will be a falling pound, higher inflation and higher unemployment. In short, a recession.

You should also remember that Brexit, if exit, is a unique event no matter if the british make a well-coordinated exit the main floor, or stumble out of the EU. To an advanced economy have cut the ties to such a close community has not happened before. No one knows what will happen.

There is already great uncertainty in the world economy and financial markets. The stock exchanges have been up and down and up again. Sweden will be affected, of course, of nervousness. And it is not helpful to the Uk may go into a period of total uncertainty.

the Uk's sixth largest export market and also a major supplier of essential goods. Upwards of 70.000 jobs in Sweden is dependent on exports to the Uk. The Swedish companies ' uk subsidiary has a turnover, in turn, hundreds of billions of dollars each year.

in Particular, if Brexit lead to financial turmoil and even greater uncertainty in the global economy, it will be marked with us.

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