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Brexit vote : May and Juncker put everything on one card

There are decisive hours and days for the UK and the EU. While the house of Commons on a vote on exiting the EU Treaty with open-hearth output is heading, is Jean-Claude Juncker came to the British. The EU Commission President would like to share with the British Prime Minister Theresa May to bring the Brexit Deal finally over the finish line.

May and Juncker share the feelings of many citizens on the island and on the continent, the endless Gezerres to exit from the EU, the British are weary of. But, in Strasbourg, found a Last-Minute agreement carries with it great risks.

The EU Commission chief has his last trump

plays When the Plan of Juncker and Jan rises, then the UK will escape more or less on time in the coming weeks from the EU. The should refuse under the house, in spite of the improvements to the exit of the contract, however, again the Deal, then Juncker would be particularly duped.

His concession, according to which the UK can aspire to in the coming transition period, a looser relationship with the EU, represents, in a sense, the last offer from Brussels. There is a trump suit, the Juncker plays now. Entitled he doesn't want it to be an extension of the Brexit period in the 29. March, arrive.

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Still remains the question: How do the EU and the UK, where appropriate, a Negotiation impasse, if the should make house soon to be a majority for an extension of the deadline, and the talks should turn in a circle?

In the core is received by Juncker during his concession to May the risk to alienate the EU member Ireland. Especially in Dublin that Backstop was sacrosanct from the beginning, to which the consent is threatening to fail under the house. The Backstop is to prevent that in the former civil war region in the North of the island of Ireland in a hard limit.

to prevent this, had devised the government in London and the remaining 27 EU member States, a solution that should remain, according to the UK until Further notice in the customs Union, and the British in Northern Ireland, even in the EU internal market. Thus, the border between Dublin and Belfast held open would. But the Brexit-hard-liners in the ranks of the Tories feared that this scheme makes a hard break with the EU impossible.

Juncker, the Brexiteers the Hand

With the recent agreement, Juncker is now contrary to the Brexiteers a step. Especially with the commitment by the EU until the end of 2020, together with the British alternative solutions to the Backstop to develop sufficient Juncker, the hard, the Hand-liners, in a sense.

at the same time he has brought the art piece is finished, despite the additions to the Backstop no storm of protest at the Dublin government. On the Morning after the agreement of Strasbourg, the Irish head of government Leo Varadkar praised the in a hurry solution between the Prime Minister and the head of the European Commission. Apparently Varadkar: Rather have a predictable end-of-Brexit-horror, and avert No-Deal thinking scenarios than a horror without end.

Bad Omen for the lower house vote on Tuesday night

Whether the strategy of Juncker's and may's rises, however, is uncertain. The Brexiteers in the lower house want to vote, ultimately, make the assessment of the British attorney General Geoffrey Cox. The 58-year-old Conservative said on Tuesday that the recent agreement of Strasbourg will not change anything in the "legal risk" that Britain could remain against his will in the customs Union with the EU will be caught.

The evaluation of Cox is not a good Omen for the house vote, which is scheduled on Tuesday evening. The Brexiteers could let the Deal fall through, and May humiliate you again like last January.

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Britain to leave the EU Ex-Brexit-the Minister considers May Deal acceptable

there has long been another way of exit the EU agreement in the lower house over the hurdle of the approval of the Labour party would help. But it will not be until Further notice. Head of the Labour party, Jeremy Corbyn relies rather more to the fact that in Parliament a majority for a possible close connection to the EU in the framework of a customs Union. But before this happens, should the Brexit period in the 29. March, be extended. And thus the endless search for the modalities of the divorce between the UK and the EU.

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