Brexit and the European elections : The year of destiny for the EU

How will the EU look like at the end of the year 2019? A possible answer could be due to the EU exit of great Britain: The EU is small and a little loose. But because no one can predict with certainty when the EU's exit comes and if he comes at all, is also behind the Brexit now a question mark. It is just one of many uncertainties in the upcoming European year.

The second most important question after the Brexit, is, however, at 26. May clearly answer. In the evening, after the European election, will stand firmly, whether the rise of the populists, or at least is stopped. The European election is now widely referred to as a fate of choice, because it will show whether the Trend of the Erosion of the people's party stops in the middle. That extreme-Right, such as the Italian Lega or the French party, the "Rassemblement National" in the European Parliament will receive a design majority, is not to be expected. But it would be no Surprise if the populists of the left and right recorded in Strasbourg further gains, and thus a stable majority would make it more difficult.

the Brexit and the rise of the populists contexts on the continent. As the Brexiteers in the UK reject the EU, Marine Le Pen in France or Jaroslaw Kaczynski in Poland, a questioning of "Brussels" in varying degrees. The exit decision of the British finds no imitators, but in the Trend of a growing EU-skepticism. At the latest, since in Italy the Northern League and the Five star movement formed an Alliance that is similar to the design of the EU into a defensive struggle.

more Important than the personnel debate the content of the course provision will be for the EU to be

The difficult situation of the EU at the beginning of this year, should on the other hand, are fuelling but also no decay scenarios. If you look at the Situation objectively, you are more likely to forecast: to 2019 the design of the EU – and may well be positive first and foremost in the hands of the national States. Admittedly, The EU will in the coming twelve months, not reinvent, let alone an overnight military power, is so necessary this would be, in view of the policy of Donald Trump. But it is, for instance, Germany is at liberty, in the defence budget of the Two-percent target of the Nato faster approach than in the past.

The main cities will shape this year's EU policy is expected to be crucial, because the Brussels operation will mostly be self-absorbed. Prior to the European elections, the European legislation rests, and after the election it will go to Post. As a favorite for the succession of EU Commission chief Jean-Claude Juncker, the CSU-man Manfred Weber.

uncertainty caused by Brexit, more and more British passports of other EU apply for countries

will be more Important than a personal debate for the EU, but the content of course provision. This applies not least for Angela Merkel. How does the Chancellor in Detail the creation of an EU army? How pronounced their will to support the French President, Emmanuel Macron, in his project of a EU digital tax? Whether Merkel can put after the lost of Europe for the year 2018 in fact, specific Impulse – the coming months will show it.