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Brazil : sharp pivot to the right

1. January Jair Bolsonaro assumes the presidency of Brazil. The country is likely to be in for four turbulent years. Bolsonaro made it clear that he wants to give Brazil a new direction. It is to be conservative, nationalistic, and militaristic. While his followers are eagerly awaiting the shift to the right, cause the plans in the Bolsonaros opponents of enormous rejection and Fears. Also in Brazil, an extreme polarisation of the political camps has taken place. The friend-or-foe-to Think of anyone as embodied and promoted like Bolsonaro. As US President Donald Trump, he is a man, not based on balance and compromise, but confrontation.

A further Parallel to Trump: Bolsonaro despised traditional media and communicated to project on Twitter. In one of his last Tweets before Christmas, he has made known what he wanted to initially focus on: "The state and development without the hindrance by NGOs, bilateral economic agreements, as well as the change of the shabby nature of our education."

Strong and weak

The need for the Declaration. The Brazilian state is strong and weak at the same time. On the one hand, he controls a number of companies like the oil giant Petrobras. He created an absurd bureaucracy, which complicates any economic commitment. And he makes the high costs of its employees, Brasilia to Washington, the second most expensive capital in the world. A reduction of the state seems to be a good idea.

Bolsonaros's Minister of economy Paulo Guedes has announced plans to privatize state-owned enterprises, the reform of the pension system, and the hurdles for investors to reduce. The liberalisation could lead to a revival of the economy, which has stagnated for the past five years. You will, however, give rise to the fierce resistance of the trade unions.

at the same time, the Brazilian government is extremely weak. He can't stop the illegal deforestation of the rainforest and is absent in the Thousands of Favelas. Also, the education and health system in need of urgent investment. Here is a more present and intelligent, the state would be needed. On Bolsonaros Agenda, but this plays no role.

proximity to the military

If Bolsonaro speaks in his Tweet continued from "development without NGOs", he then aims at the protection of the environment and human rights groups. They do not hinder, in his opinion, the economic progress. "We will finish the activism in Brazil," said Bolsonaro shortly after the election. It is expected that in the future large-scale projects without consideration of possible environmental damage and negative consequences for the local population are waved through, to which particularly non-governmental organizations point out. Bolsonaros anger is also directed against groups that criticize the brutality of the military police in the Favelas. He has announced that the security forces will have freedom under him maximum freedom to act. Also from his opposition to international organizations and agreements Bolsonaro makes no secret of the fact. The Paris climate agreement, he no longer compared to is critical, however, of a outlet.

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Bolsonaro has used the time since his election, to appoint 22 Ministers. In this case, the weight of the military, which account for around a third of its government team. Less in the focus of attention to date, such as Bolsonaro wants to majorities in a fragmented Parliament. He is one of three parties who will have to Sit 91 out of a total of 513. For Bolsonaro, the most complicated part of governance: the promotion starts now, a reliable majority for the path to the right.

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