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Before Brexit vote : How Brussels is prepared to Mays Fail

In Strasbourg, where, as always, in session weeks, the EU Parliament and the Commission are to prepare a no of the British house of Commons. The question is, how high is the collection for the British Prime Minister Theresa May in the ranks of the round. May should in addition to the no votes from the Opposition more than 200 votes from the own stock to cash, it'll be very difficult for you. Then a unregulated threat to take Britain out of the EU on 29. March.

Because in this case, the Prime Minister blocked a second attempt, practically, to bring the lengthy discussions, negotiated contract negotiated through the house of Commons. "With 80 votes against, you could try again", is heard in Brussels.

on Wednesday morning, a few hours after the decision in the British house of Commons, is scheduled a debate in the European Parliament. The topic is, how it is now. One and a half hours. It is clear already now: A Resolution should not be adopted. The preparation is not enough time. This could be made up at the end of January, when the EU Parliament comes back together.

Probably May would arrange for the second vote on the controversial agreement within a period of a few weeks. Also the convening of a further Brexit-a special summit in Brussels in an interview. Both would have to go in March about the stage.

in Brussels there is little inclination to the British about the targeted exit date 29. To give March, in addition to even more delay. Elmar Brok (CDU), Brexit-representative of the EU Parliament, says: "For a displacement of the exit date, it would have to give comprehensible reasons." Called about an election in the United Kingdom, or the preparation of a new referendum. This will be factored in for legal reasons, but at least five months in advance.

A shift in the Brexits has – if at all - very narrow limits. 30. In June, there would be no postponement of the discharge date, stated in Brussels. The reason was the European election of 23. to 26. May.

1. July, the newly elected MEPs are officially in office. The United Kingdom should be a member of the EU, would also need to collect British members of Parliament back to the Strasbourg Parliament. This would mean that British members of Parliament would also decide on the nomination of the new Commission President, before you leave, then a few weeks later, finally, the EU and the Parliament. The British of this participation are yet to admit, to nobody in Brussels is ready to go.

Usually, the European Parliament shall designate, in the first session of the week after the European election, a candidate for the President of the Commission. As things currently Stand, the top candidate of the Christian democratic party family, the CSU politician Manfred Weber, the best opportunities to follow Jean-Claude Juncker in this Position. Over the summer he would explore then, what are the commissioners he would like from the member States appointed. Provided, the candidate of the Parliament would also get the approval of the heads of state and government, would then take place in the autumn of the hearings of the commissioners in Parliament.

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An extension of the deadline, and a later Brexit-decide date would have to formally, the member States unanimously. The European Parliament has already registered that it wants to also join in the conversation.

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