Expert: the Next meeting must give the results

"Expert: Next meeting must give the result"

"the Last meeting in Singapore in June last year it was symbolically important, but had not so much concrete."

"When Donald Trump and Kim Jong-Un will now meet for the second time to deliver. The high expectations also brings risks, says a Nordkoreaexpert."

"the Thaw in relations between the U.S. and north Korea are driven primarily by Trump, says Niklas Swanström, Nordkoreaanalytiker and director of the Institute for security and development policy (I.S.D.P.)."

"– This is very personbaserat, and in particular, it is Trump talking about their relationship. But looking at the substance, there is more to be desired. We have not come as far as you might think when you hear Donald Trump talk, and there is no process of disarmament which one might get the impression of."

"How genuine is this sharp realignment in the relationship?"

"– the Trump think that Kim Jong-Un is willing to go to him. But Trumps expectations are much higher than what is realistic, and then it is possible that he feels that Kim Jong-Un has betrayed or used him, which may have quite serious effects. The key for Washington now is to keep down expectations."

"But is it possible to get Trump's sudden flattery of Kim Jong-Un seriously?"

" after all, It's Trump we're talking about, and he has a vocabulary that paints with large brush strokes. Somewhere there is probably a reluctance from his side, but he is a person who is happy to pull large switches on things when he feels that he is sitting in the driver's seat. It is also interesting that Kim Jong-Un has not responded to all of this. We have not heard him praise Trumps intelligence."

"How has the perception of the US changed in north Korea?"

"– Man has toned down the anti-american propaganda quite radically. When I was there a year ago, there were still anti-american posters set, but when I was last there in may they were plundered. But it is clear that there is still a strong skepticism."

"What are the major problems with the negotiations?"

"– the Lack of substance. We have no multilateral institutions that can pick up the détente, and president Moon Jae-In of south Korea has its own domestic problems. You must soon start to consider how tension can be maintained on the bilateral relations, the encounter on patrol."

"What are the hopes for a second meeting?"

" this time you have to come up with much more substance. The last time it was mostly leftovers, now you have to come up with practical steps to move forward."

"– I expect some concessions from north Korea when it comes to developing new nuclear weapons, but not so much when it comes to disarmament. North korea will also require the use of released sanctions, but it will be difficult to do without real progress on the nedrustningssidan. There is a risk that the setting of high expectations on both sides."

"How important was the last meeting in Singapore?"

"– Symbolically it was extremely important, and a breakthrough that these leaders met. You have a more frequent contact between the parties now. But the man came to was too broad and difficult to get anything out of concrete. But also between North and south Korea, there has been frequent discussion and dialogue. Where there has been a significant thaw, it has broken down the sentries at the border. It is not just the words and the symbolism."

"Is there a danger that relations will deteriorate again to the same level as before?"

"– just as bad as over a year ago, I don't think it can be, we have reached so far in détente. There has been very positive in recent times, but we should not fool ourselves. There is of course a risk that the relations between the Trump and Kim Jong-Un collapses, and then it can become quite serious."