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Study : Hard Brexit endangered in Germany, 100,000 Jobs

In the case of a Brexit, without compromise - and the collecting solution are at risk, according to a study from the Leibniz Institute for economic research Halle (IWH), more than 100,000 German jobs. The Economists Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch, and Oliver repeated möller from the IWH and the Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Germany by playing in a analysis of the "hard Brexit", and breaking the effect up to the individual districts and circle-free cities in Germany, such as the "Welt am Sonntag" reported.

After a unregulated Brexit would be re-imposed duties on imports to the UK. The Simulation of the scientists detected only Jobeffekte, due to the ensuing slump in Exports. For more Brexit threats for the labour market, such as declining willingness to invest, not the Numbers.

Therefore, Böblingen, where, among other technology companies such as IBM or Siemens, and companies in the automotive industry are located, 726 Jobs were around in the Swabian district of the game. In the district märkischer Kreis, in North Rhine-Westphalia to 703. Here are many medium-sized companies, whose products are used around the world and the global market leader in their field.

results of a Simulation calculation

Particularly hard cuts would be the uncontrolled withdrawal of the British Workers in Wolfsburg and in the lower Bavarian town of Dingolfing-Landau, noted the Economists. In terms of the total number of the acquisition of the incision would be working nowhere in the Republic is greater than in these circles. The reason: Volkswagen or BMW here together with the Automotive suppliers are the largest employer.

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"The employment effects of a hard Brexits would be mainly on the automotive sites noticeably," said Holte möller.

The Federal Republic of Germany as the economic heartland of the EU and as an export nation, would suffer from the exit. "In no other state the effect on total employment is not as large as in Germany, where approximately 100,000 people are affected," said the Economist.

The numerical results of a Simulation are: For the study, the authors assumed that the imports of great Britain slump to a disordered Brexit by 25 percent - a value that corresponds to current scientific estimates.

More about

Brexit-crisis Labour has a proposal

Sebastian Borger

they have developed a formula that could calculate how such an import slump on what industry and what country the impact of. Basis of data from the World Input-Output Database (WIOD), the world trade linkages between States are documented. (AFP, dpa)

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