New referendum on Brexit is drawing ever closer

Prime minister Theresa May came home empty-handed from a summit in Brussels. She managed to not get with the other member states to provide legal guarantees that what is called our backup plan is going for Ireland is only temporary.

Learn more: Corbyn requires a vote of no confidence on May

And without such guarantees will Brexitavtalet not go through in the house of commons, judge May. In the last week she drew the short notice to back the planned vote on the agreement. The confusion is now big in London about how to proceed, as planned, be able to leave the EU in an orderly fashion on march 29 next year.

highlight a new referendum as an alternative. One of them is former prime minister Tony Blair from the socialist Labour party.

– Now the ball is in parliament and it must decide one of the options. Capable; of it, should the decision go back to the people, " he says.

Former prime minister Tony Blair, the Labour party, argues in favour of a new referendum on Brexit. Photo: Frank Augstein

another conservative Jo Johnson, a former minister in the Theresa Mays of the government and brother to Brexitgeneralen Boris Johnson. In an interview in The Times, " says Jo Johnson, who wants the country stays in the EU, the interest to hold a second referendum has increased in the circle around Theresa May.

– She needs a way back to reality and I believe that a referendum may be it, " he believes.

. In a speech in parliament on Monday she said that a referendum would divide the country and tear up the new wounds between the residents.

" Let us not break the trust we have received from the british people by trying to keep a new referendum, said Theresa May.

She announced instead that members should get to vote on her contract the week starting 14 January.

as the lift folkomröstningsfrågan higher on the agenda, according to professor Tony Travers, of the London School of Economics.

– There is a broad majority in the house of commons that we should not leave the EU without agreement. But there is no majority for either mrs. Mays agreements or anything else, " he says.

Tony Travers notes that a new referendum would be able to give parliamentarians the courage to vote in a certain direction. But at the same time, a referendum is also a way to juggle a hot potato on to avoid taking responsibility.

– Before it was the only EU friends who wanted a new referendum. Now it is also others who see this as the only possibility to get a decision at all, " he says.

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"Probably not, but it is clearly more likely now than it was before," says Tony Travers.

He fears that strong political forces, he calls them poisonous, would be released to solve the case of a new referendum. Tony Travers exemplifies how the voters now identify themselves more as ”leaver” (want to leave the EU) or the ”remainers” (want to stay in the EU) than the associated conservative Tories or the Labour party.

– Values and how you see your place in the world is expressed more if you are ”leave” or ”remain”, than if you are right or left.

" Who knows. She has said several things and then changed his mind. To vote on the Brexitavtalet would be held the last week is just one example. She has an opinion on a matter say nothing. It can be changed in a minute.

Tony Travers suspect that british voters are not particularly keen on a new referendum. He also believed that the option of ”no deal”, to leave the EU without the agreement, would be able to win in a new referendum.

" No one really knows what the effect of no agreement becomes. Furthermore, it appears that the people be ready to become poorer only we are allowed to leave the EU. It's like when the british empire broke down, and we said to the countries in Africa that they would be poorer if they broke away. They said, ”fine, we will be free to the poor and thank you so much”.

– the Most likely scenario is that there will be some kind of orderly exit from the EU or boost the whole process up, " says professor Travers.

Read more: May and Blair in the open arguments about Brexit