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Anna DahlbergDe red and green are confounded in the face of the black jobbsiffrorna
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Like a cold shower. In order to be able to describe the service's announcement this week that the unemployment rate is expected to rise to 11.4 per cent at the beginning of the next year.

That a pandemic is going to hit hard, to jobs across the whole of the western world have been expected. However, it is of particular concern to our poor starting position.

location: to 23. Only the southern european countries, such as Greece, Spain, Italy and France have a higher unemployment rate than Sweden at the beginning of the year.

the position is worse if you compare it with Sweden, prior to the financial crisis of 2008. There were 59 000 unemployed people with a short education, are enrolled with the public employment service, that is to say, people with a compulsory school education of nine years or less.

today, the corresponding figure was 143 000. At the beginning of the next year, it is expected that the exposed group had grown to almost 200,000, according to the public Employment service's most recent forecast. ”The only difference in this crisis compared to the financial crisis of 2008 is evident,” says the agency on a dry byråkratsvenska.

the rate of Unemployment will, of course, is to turn a lot more than this, there are many employees that are hanging loose in the coronakrisen. However, the majority of people who already have a confident a foot on the labour market will have to find a new job, as soon as the economy turns around.

the Swedish public employment service has been beaten hard in the last couple of years. The first was a M/KS-budget, which meant a panicked cuts. Then The privatiseringsexperiment implemented with the goal of allowing independent operators to take over the jobbförmedlandet.

the Situation was difficult enough without a crisis. With a soaring unemployment rate, the situation of the employment has become extremely competitive.

the Unemployment rate is heading towards a historical level, however, the minister in charge of the tjafsar on one of the LAS-study.

All of this raises issues with regard to the political leadership. More centrally located to the people that I talk to are asking themselves in wonder, Eva Nordmark (S) of action, so far as the minister of labour. She is vague, passive, and politically inexperienced.

to be Sure, the government has invested hundreds of billions to keep the companies afloat in the worst months of the year. A good thing. However, these initiatives, in order to prevent long-term unemployment from becoming entrenched is to get.

Some additional places in higher vocational education and adult vocational training are presented as well as the prolongation of the maximum of the subsidised employment, including new start jobs.

In October, the so-called " etableringsjobben for the last time to be put into place. This is a new form of employment, it has been flagged to the right, then 2016 at the latest. Today, the Industry has termed the recent ”Jobbreformen who has never won on the ground” (19/5).

second, the jobs are costly to the taxpayer. And the third is the potential for cheating is obvious. The state will pay for up to 9 870 per month, directly on people's accounts in order to significantly reduce the employer's cost of hiring one in the long term or for the new arrival. In a simple system, that is the idea. Without a doubt, but it is also easy to förfuska.

as They watched, even before the crisis, how the establishment of the new arrivals had been declining. Only 34 per cent of the newly arrived people, who left the etableringsprogrammet in 2019, studied, or worked for the first 90 days following the end of the programme. Only a little more than six per cent of respondents had managed to obtain a regular job without the subsidy.

it was then, in the boom times, how will it look like in a crisis? There is a great chance that local authorities will have to contend with the rising cost of income support and the growing alienation of the, during the many years to come.

Whether or not the government will take to deal with the long-term will result in the dichotomy of the american work force to be made permanent, and many of them will be knocked out for good.

So, what should the government do? There is no ”quick fix”, but here is a list of the actions that Januaripartierna should be able to check off the following:

• the invest heavily in basic adult education and training during the crisis – not least of all the language training for those who wish to improve their English.

• Give the employment agency a little bit of time, with increased funding over the next five years and slim it down privatiseringsreformen for something that will be introduced gradually and on a small scale.

• Extend the start-up phase, from the current two years. One approach would be to adjust the time for the level of education among the immigrants.

• the Reinstatement of a variation in the Phase 3, for the groups who find it difficult to get a subsidised employment where absolutely necessary.

• will Stand up to the work-first principle on the 3rd of January 2021 at the latest, when the temporary increase in the unemployment will terminate. The research shows clearly that a reduction of the amount of compensation reduces the unemployment rate. < / span> < / span>

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