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- There will be no more interest rate oppganger from Norges Bank

(Obi.no:) "today it must almost be the consensus to predict that 2019 will mark the beginning of a downturn for the world economy", writes the chief economist Jan L. Andreassen in the Eika Group on his blog.

He describes a downturn of unknown strength and scope. A slump that will depend on how the authorities tackle the advanced.

"Here at home, there are still many who believe that 2019 will be fantastic. Perma-optimism will soon tøe, also in the otherwise so brilliant economists in Norges Bank and the Ministry of finance. Experts who are still seeing for themselves that interest rates will be up - than so long", continues Andreassen.

Sooner or later, however, they also according to sjeføkonomen take the reality in.

"There will be no more renteoppganger from Norges Bank. Also here at home is konjunkturtoppen passed", he states on the blog.

the Solution to cyclical challenges need according to Eika-economist partly consist in that it reduces the incentive to save.

"the Reason that the world ends up in the recession is that people choose to save in cash rather than invest or consume. But interest rates are so low most of the countries that it is limited what you can do", it's called from Andreassen.

Probably is, according to the sjeføkonomen increased public expenditure/skatteletter a better way to go. Where budsjettunderskuddene is large one gets the tax from the passive kingdom of god what it takes.

"However, not the authorities, no matter how creative they are, prevent næringsomstillinger. Teknologisektorene was maybe too large in relation to the population's underlying need for dippedutter and gadgets", he writes.

For Norwegian banks do not need a weaker world economy be so bad, believe Andreassen. You just have to replay the risk sufficiently that it reflects a new phase for the global economy.

"Høykonjunkturen is definitely past. Now we have to deal with more difficult times, but it is made relatively easy by adjusting the risk premia are on everything we do. Alternative: Say no to lånesøknaden!", end Eika-economist.

currency:
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