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The surprising and the unexpected

Demoscopy shares one thing with clairvoyance.

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The surprising and the unexpected

Demoscopy shares one thing with clairvoyance. It is sometimes right, sometimes not. However, it is almost always right. The PP won the Andalusian election with an absolute majority. This was in order to avoid having to accept the bitter nightmare presented by Vox. Vox had to negotiate with Vox to form a coalition government, in which Olona would serve as the Trojan horse and Santiago Abascal would take over the reins as the horseman in the Apocalypse. The left-wing parties were quick to declare that they would not abstain at the investiture to allow PP to govern by itself. Vox would have been responsible for the formation of a coalition government in which Olona would be the Trojan horse and Santiago Abascal would take the reins remotely. This is a clear example that partisan tactics are against the general interests.

While the opposition was likely to have a lot fun in the Andalusian parliament, wallowing in Vox's regressive propositions, a large portion of the citizens would have had to deal with the practical consequences. We won't know how much the refusal announcement encouraged the useful vote, or fear-based voting among the undecided, who are often the ones that decide.

Juanma Moreno was more than just a partner. Vox would be an internal saboteur and that was the hope of left: that the Andalusian government wear itself out to its limits. It was a grotesque from the beginning: incorporation of a party which promotes the destruction of the autonomys into a regional government.

Ciudadanos's lack of representation means that Ciudadanos no longer acts as the moderating factor Moreno attributes to him. The PSOE candidate fulfills expectations. A politician-torch to burn while waiting for better times in Andalusia. The fragmentation of the hard-line Left, caused by its struggle of personalisms and its divergence on details to the detriment its conciliation in the essentials, is a warning sign -never considered- that his atomization only brings confusion, dispersion, and disenchantment for his potential electorate.

The curtain finally opens.

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