Moreno is encouraged by the rebound in participation

The participation rate in the Andalusian elections at 2:00 p.m. has increased by 4.2 percent compared to 2018. This is in line with the hopes of the PP Juanma Moreno, Alberto Nunez Feijoo that they will be able reach a sufficient majority -the absolute is in 55 seats – to be able govern independently of Vox. Because of the distance between the dates they were established, the specialists find it difficult to compare two autonomous communities that are so different. They took place on December 2. There was a later influx to the polls, which ended up being 56.5%. This is the second-lowest figure for the country's elections since 1982. The heat wave and Corpus Christi festival have conditioned the electorate of today. The exercise of the vote has not been retracted despite the fact that it is awaiting ratification at 6 in the afternoon. It has actually rebounded. It has risen in the electoral colleges that have a higher proportion of center-right votes. The PP seems to be afraid of another 'Arenas Syndrome' that could reduce Moreno's chances of winning and continue to lead the Executive, while also allowing him to do so without the ties to Santiago Abascal's Party.

After a campaign to contain, avoiding unforced mistakes, and with his supporters convinced that they have managed bite into the moderate electorate to strengthen the PP at the San Telmo Palace, the fear of Moreno, and This time Genoa does NOT go through the mobilization, they set fidelity to 80%- and this is due to an excessive of confidence according to polls that, unlike Alfonso Fernandez Manueco's victory in Castilla-Leon. They have been approaching the dream majority, including the possibility of a total hegemony. A decade after Arenas, the popular fight against the disappointments of the lofty expectations set a record for his party, with 50 seats. However, it was short compared to the predictions and not enough to overthrow the PSOE.

Maria Martin, Director of Communication at GAD3, discusses for this newspaper the results of the participation at 2 in the afternoon. The exercise of the ballot doesn't sink>, despite the pleasant weather and the desire to revel in the festive atmosphere. The voters are more likely to vote in the interior schools than in the coast. According to the member of the voter prospecting company, Cordoba is not unusual in Andalusia. And that activation is perceived differently in areas that lean to the center-right. She cites two Sevillian areas as a case study: Los Remedios has a significant bag of support for Vox and the PP, while Cerro-Amate shrinks to the center-left.

Martin points out that a collapse in the vote would favor parties associated with the ideological "extremes". In this case, Vox, Adelante Andalucia and Vox, which are the candidates that split from the Podemos confluences that head the anti-capitalism group Teresa Rodriguez. The expert believes that if the upward trend at 2:00 p.m. continues, it will bring the polls closer to the truth of the electoral vote. Translated: At this point, Moreno would be consolidated above 50 seats, giving him the possibility of a absolute majority.