A 32-year-old green Nerd mixes the Zurich cantonal Council election campaign. The member of the Parliament, Martin Neukom is surprisingly good in the race, as the results of the TA-choice survey. He is currently in eighth place, would achieve an absolute majority and as a Supernumerary, although just the choice of miss. But the distance to the Siebtplatzierten, Thomas Vogel (FDP), is small, he is only four percentage points.
bird is now under pressure. He wants to defend the second seat of the FDP , those of the outgoing health Director Thomas Heiniger. The not, to succeed him would be a historical swatter. The free Democrats were never with less than two Seats in the Zurich government.
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That bird's choice would be runner no self, hinted at already, the results of the survey, the NZZ at the end of January. At the time, the bird thanked him for this Wake-up call. He had always said that the elections would not be "easy," he said to the microphone: "The survey gives me the right." Nevertheless, he was optimistic, explained the poor result of the early the time of the survey. In the meantime, much is happening, for example, his performance at the Albisgüetli conference of the SVP . The latest Figures do not support his positive Interpretation, however, is: In comparison to the former survey, the distance to Neukom is decreased even slightly.
"If I were Thomas, I wouldn't sit back," says political geographer Michael Hermann, the research Institute of Sotomo conducted the survey on behalf of the TA. He doubts though that it is on 24. March comes to Sensation. Because the survey values are relatively stable. Nevertheless, four points are on a ledge, you lose quite a or could to catch up.
Rickli has benefited converted
New from the label: green. The climate issue is virulent, Kantonsräte discuss the climate emergency, students are on strike. His disadvantage: He is unknown, even less known than bird. "You didn't trust Neukom, the choice at the beginning of the course, would be someone to start with a greater prominence in the election campaign, would be the Sensation, it's more likely," says Hermann. Only 52 percent of the surveyed voters give to have been in from New. In the case of bird it is 58 percent. For comparison: The top when it comes to awareness share for SVP candidate and national councillor Natalie Rickli and SP safety Director, Mario Fehr, with 92 per cent.
Natalie Rickli, to defend the second SVP seat of the assignor Baudirektors Markus Kägi, is located in the survey directly in front of the bird and behind the Previous, need to hardly Worry about their re-election, on the 6th rank. She fell in the polls behind SP-justice Director Jacqueline Fehr. Measured in terms of their awareness, this is a modest result. "But," is a political geographer Hermann to remember, "Rickli is a nationally known SVP-Hardliner. Such politicians, you used to have no choice in the opportunities for an Executive body." That has changed this, he explains, among other things, that the SVP-style question in this very good choice to stand the struggle never up for discussion. In addition, it has managed during the election campaign, to indicate their change of role from high-profile member of Parliament towards a possible member of the cantonal government.
That Rickli is behind all the Previous back and Thomas bird must tremble around his choice, but also due to the fact that the civil Alliance works as planned. FDP-voters and voters Mario Fehr (58 percent) to write more frequently on your ballot as Natalie Rickli (49 percent). Conversely, only 51 percent of the SVP support-electorate Thomas bird. That the unity is not sufficient in the end however, is largely down to the weakness of the opponent. Would support the allies closed in, could sleep their Candidates quiet, says Michael Hermann. Only the voters of the bourgeois parties was too different, as would the consequences have demonstrated Agreement of the parties. The civil Block is not a real Block. Red-Green closer to stand with their values.
Galladé effect at the SP
This also support the results of the survey. Although the Left has entered into no Alliance, chooses the base closed. Even the left-Green criticized Mario Fehr receives 76 percent of the Greens and of 88 percent of the social Democrats of the voice and only slightly less than Jacqueline Fehr (SP), which is at the left edge undisputed.
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Mario Fehr succeeded in the election campaign, to score points with the Left. He is unchallenged at the top in the election survey. 65 percent of the voters to write his name on the ballot. "Mario is coming home", summed up Michael Hermann is the result. He positioned himself again, a little left, which meant that Fehr votes more SP in exchange for a little less SVP-votes. "In the first survey, the support for it was balanced, now it is back to center-left." Him a certain Galladé effect help.
The former national councillor and current President of the Winterthur school circle Töss, Chantal Galladé, announced at the end of February, from the SP - and the green-liberal to join. This decision made so close to the Zurich options for some of the unrest. "This step has United the SP rather, you want to take care of each other." (Tages-Anzeiger)
Created: 11.03.2019, 21:58 PM