US Democrats : What comes to them for 2020?

pushing Slowly the time. In November 2020, the U.S. voters will decide whether Donald Trump gets a second term, and in the case of the Democrats is still not visible, who is to challenge him and can beat. The majority of the democratic societies of the earth: another four years of Trump to save the Yanks! Once Trump is bad enough. If you vote for him, would be Europe, the really, really bad. The Republicans have little hope. Who thinks seriously that they nominate a presidential candidate?

Still 22 months is not enough time for the Democrats to victory to set up certainly against Trump? Yes and no. In the last three presidential elections, there was this time long ago, who the good candidates would be: in October 2006, for example, that Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton in 2008, to compete for the Democrats and John McCain for the Republicans. So the Democrats this time are late. On the other hand, these elections have shown the risks of an early start: Who jumps first, pulls all the attention, it will be harder tested than the laggard and needs more money, because the campaign team must no longer be financed.

so What the Democrats come up with, so that the miscalculations of 2016 repeat that? Too much and too little at the same time. The strategic Thinking in the party is still not sorted, neither for the people nor the content. Of options, there will be plenty for the Democrats. The was 2016 different. Hillary Clinton was considered inevitable, although all knew how unpopular she was. The only Alternative, Bernie Sanders, was to the left and to a little networked in two core groups of voters, African-Americans and Latinos, to a serious competition.

Not a good sign

With a view on 2020, to have only one candidate explains: Elizabeth Warren, the (by American standards) left-wing populist Senator from Massachusetts. In Washington, it whistles, but the sparrows from the roofs, that for more than a dozen Democrats, confident of a victory over Trump. This is not a good sign. Apparently many consider the success of the rightly-maligned President for a self-runner. You underestimate his fighting qualities and overestimate your charisma. Trumps win in 2016, no accident. He had reasons for this: undesirable developments in society, the escalating conflict between booming cities and neglected small towns and rural regions; the flagrant injustice in the distribution of the profits of the largest economy.

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The Democrats will have to muster the strength to relentlessly understand why Trump has been chosen and why his electorate hardly has become smaller even though he has only met very few of his campaign promises. Trump supports the feelings of the loser filled in the decentralized regions, where the Democrats are barely present and hardly programmatic offerings. You have to have also the power to stand against the illusions of the left wing, that they could Trump about committees of inquiry to its Russia-contacts and its control bring the documents to the case. Or only the social cornucopia had to pour out: of a higher minimum wage, universal health insurance.

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U.S. Democrats, Who in 2020 to compete against Donald Trump?

Juliane Schäuble Christoph von Marschall

The Democrats need in terms of personnel and in terms of content is less ideology and more pragmatism. You have to prove to the swing voters in the middle that you have better ideas as a Trump for the economy, for good Jobs, for education in times in which the US economy is booming. And you should not have the courage to nominate against the 72-year-old Trump own Methusaleme – Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, but a Person who is a Generation younger and a Nation for the future inspire. As of 1992, Bill Clinton and, in 2008, Barack Obama.