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These two announcements change the situation drastically

12. April, that was actually the new Brexit-day, is the day the United Kingdom from the European Union, should be eliminated. But it is, as so often in the past weeks: Every day brings a new development in the Brexit-the Drama, the Situation is changing. Two announcements from the Friday the situation change drastically. The most important questions and answers:

What is in the letter of Theresa May ?
The British Prime Minister asking for a postponement of the Brexit-date on the 30. June. In a letter, the May on Friday, EU Council President Donald Tusk has sent. May writes that the aim of the government was to leave the EU in an orderly manner and without further undue delay. It is located in a cul-de-SAC, because their Deal had not been approved by Parliament. It was frustrating that the process has not yet come to a "successful and orderly completion". It should be free.

What is may's Plan?
May imagine. You want to actually an extension of the deadline, but continued to insist that she gets her Deal, but still in a timely manner through Parliament. But was rejected already several times in the house of Commons, the conservative party in government is divided. On Tuesday May announced a change in strategy. Together with the Opposition, you want to find a solution now, they have been negotiating since then with Jeremy Corbyn. In the current letter May explicitly refers to the "open invitation" to discussions that you've spoken to all the members of the lower house to come to a consensus and approve the Deal. "Compromises have to be closed on all sides," she writes. "In the national interest." Because of the elections to the European Parliament at the end of may, the EU has a Brexit up to 12. April – without an agreement – or the 22. May with the of May and the EU negotiated agreement requires.

What it wants to Tusk?
Also on Friday, a new proposal from Brussels came. EU-great-grandson Tusk advocated for a shift in the Brexit to twelve months. Tusk wants to propose to the 27 remaining EU States on Friday. The Reuters news Agency reported, a high-ranking EU representatives have explained: "The only sensible way out would be a long, but flexible expansion. I would call it "Flex tension"." The extension would automatically terminate once the exit accepts the agreement and by the British Parliament ratified had been. "And even if this is not possible, would the UK still enough time to reconsider his Brexit strategy", the EU representative to Reuters.

What does this mean for the European elections?
The is open. May has made clear that they do not think it would be better if the British were to take the elections to the European part. It is now gritting his teeth, by the date of 30. June called. You will make the necessary arrangements for participation, May writes in the letter to Tusk. Until Friday, the 12. In April, the government of the time, officially, to call for elections. However, May retain the hope that the election can be cancelled, if there is a agreement on the Deal with the EU. The question remains open of how useful it would be to send newly elected British members of Parliament only for a couple of weeks to the European Parliament. As soon as there is a Deal, would you be deducted, and, as provided by colleagues from other European countries to be replaced. The EU can hope, such as the UK, only that the Deal will go ahead in July's upcoming election of a new Commission President on the stage.

the British, you should really participate in the election, this is not under "normal" circumstances, to do. For conservative politicians, it would be bizarre to ask the citizens for a mandate for the European Parliament, the truth is they want. In Tory circles, the word "Zombie election". Probably, at least, the Conservatives and many Labour would go-the people in the election campaign, if at all, with the handbrake on. This would give smaller parties the opportunity to raise your profile, such as the Pro-European Scottish National Party. Perhaps the new Independent group taking part, which consists of renegade Conservatives and Labour politicians. A request, the party has already put in.

what's next?
Tusk's Plan must be approved next week by the heads of state and heads of government. That this happens is not sure. As Tusk moves away from a requirement, in particular, the President of France Emmanuel Macron is: namely the British, only an extension of the withdrawal deadline, if you submit a "clear Plan" or a valid reason to call about a new election or a second Referendum. But such a Plan letter is in Mays. In this respect, the EU would, it follows, you make Mays or Tusk's "Flex tension"idea, the British a big concession. Finally, the Europeans would be in this way dependent on the intra-British development, which is hardly predictable.

Tusk's offer is an obvious change of strategy. Behind this is the insight that the EU has no interest in a chaotic exit of the British. This is not news, but the EU has done for reasons of negotiating tactics so far, as that would be your no matter. In London, again you always knew that the EU, when it comes to the crunch, would yield in this point. At the same time also May by the EU but by expresses, for the first time their willingness to participate in the European elections.

A prediction: Both sides will agree on the European offer. Behind Mays Date 30. June, the desire to appease their own hardliners is especially. The EU also wants to for legal reasons, necessarily, that the British participate in the election. What if the UK cancelled the withdrawal in June or July or sometime later? Then the country would have no democratic representation in Europe.

(editing Tamedia)

Created: 05.04.2019, 16:36 PM

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