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The EU will opt for a No Deal

Michel Barnier, is not so easy to out of the rest. For the past two years, the EU chief negotiator has been trying to deal with the Brexit hysteria in London with demonstrative Calmness. And you can tell that this is also managed on the day before the crucial extraordinary summit in Brussels.

Barnier told so by Meeting with the Europe Ministers of the 27 remaining EU-States, who shared on Tuesday about the state of things. His voice sounded so gentle, that the seriousness of the situation could almost have been forgotten, were it not for Barnier's clear message in the direction of the United Kingdom: "The EU will decide never to a No Deal."

In turn means that: The responsibility for what comes now, is from Barnier's point of view, in the United Kingdom alone. Finally, the British had a clear choice, the EU chief negotiator: "you can stop the Brexit process by clicking the exit application under article 50 of the EU Treaty, or they vote for the exit agreement, if you want to prevent a No Deal."

doing so simple as Barnier, is not it, of course. The EU chief negotiator's just doing his Job, he makes it clear that the still possible event of a disorderly Brexit would be to the account of great Britain. An EU Diplomat puts it: "The European Union will do everything that you can't be at the end of as a culprit for a No-Deal scenario."

No wonder that in Brussels until recently, all sorts of options have been played out. After the Visit of the British Prime Minister, Theresa May in Berlin and Paris, the EU ambassadors met on Tuesday evening. The delegates from the capitals, bent over the draft of the summit Declaration. In the nine paragraphs of only one open spot between two square brackets: [XX. XX. XXXX1]. Therein, the heads of state and head of government are inserting the new Brexit-date. The footnote refers to the desire of May, the last week for a delay of up to 30. June had asked.

Whether the EU engages with it, will meet at the summit of heads of state and heads of government. As is more likely, however, that the EU comprises a flexible extension, a so-called Flex tension, eye. This should not take to the proposal of the President of the European Council Donald Tusk for more than a year and automatically ends if both sides had ratified the resignation agreement. It was free to the United Kingdom to leave the EU "whenever it is ready," said Tusk in his letter of invitation, meeting at the summit.

The May want a short extension, until 30. June, the President of the Council, however critical. Given the "deep divisions in the house of Commons," there is little reason to believe that the withdrawal of the contract will be approved until then. Such a short delay would also affect the risk of a series of emergency summit of the mountains and the functioning of the EU in the coming months. Barnier, summed up the concerns of the EU diplomatic: "Each extension should serve a purpose. The duration should be proportionate to the goal."

In any case, the EU wants to build an extension to two conditions. Firstly, the British government finished negotiating the exit is no longer constricted to the contract. And secondly, it needs to commit the UK to the European elections at the end of may. This is not the case, it to London on 1. June automatically from the EU to escape. In addition, the majority of the EU wants to ensure States, that the United Kingdom contains decisions on the questions of the future. This could include, for example, the appointment of the next EU Commission President or the negotiations on the next EU budget framework.

in this respect, two issues are the focus this Wednesday. First, the heads of state and government leaders over the new Brexit-date. And secondly, you will set the conditions for this extension. What concerns the period, the May want 30. June as a possible date for a short extension. Provided, May manages to reach a consensus with Labour, so that the withdrawal agreement is approved by a majority in the lower house. to support

To this process, the EU, the political Declaration, in accordance with the outcome of the negotiations in London. Failing that, what is considered to be very likely, is not expected to decide the EU is a longer delay. In conversation, several data, such as the 31. December 2019 or December 31. March 2020. During this time, there could be regular Reviews to assess the situation in London.

The heads of state and heads of government will move in by "mutual Touch" on the core issues, as described by an EU Diplomat. So How can may be treated in the EU Treaty on "sincere cooperation" with a member of the EU, look, the wants to leave the community, but not as a second-class member state? To what extent will London have a say in decisions that affect the future of the European Union? And especially: such a right is so easy to prune? (Editorial Tamedia)

Created: 10.04.2019, 18:39 PM

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