"Princess Ubolratana set up in the elections in Thailand"
"the Military is the thai royal family's main protector."
"Therefore, it is not just a sensation, when the junta leader is pitted against a 67-year-old princess in the first free elections for five years. Everything in Thailand is set at right now, if she is allowed to set up."
"After almost a hundred years, can the military be on your way to losing the grip on power."
"Princess Ubolratana will be the first royalty that sets up in a general election. During all the years, the monarchy had an elevated status above politics. To interfere in the directly was unthinkable."
"But what makes the princess's arrival on the scene extra thrilling is that she set up for a party the family Shinawatra, are very close. Thaksin Shinawatra and his sister Yingluck led the country in waves after the first democratic elections in 2001. They have dominated thai politics to the degree that the military, through coups have taken power several times. Later it came to 2014, and since then, Thailand has once again been a military dictatorship."
"the Military has seen the family Shinawatra as her and the royal family's worst enemy and as a threat to social stability in the country. Both Thaksin and Yingluck ran a populist politics that attracted many of Thailand's poor farmers and the underclass. They are called rödskjortor and by the military, subjected to harsh repression since the dictatorship was restored."
"Tailor-made electoral system"
"the Military has represented the so-called gulskjortorna, the elite and the urban middle class parties that tried to protect their privileges against the ”mob”."
"The last five years, the military tried to tailor an electoral system that makes it difficult or impossible for rödskjortorna to come back to power. Princess Ubolratanas appearance on the scene totally changes the conditions for the elections to be held on 24 march."
"in the Past, the military junta leader Prayut Chan-O-Cha is the big favourite to win."
"Now appears to be the princess as the big favorite and in addition to that, in practice, can give the power back to the family Shinawatra, who has become rocky on telecoms transactions. Thaksin is living in exile in Dubai since 2008 and his sister Yingluck, fled the country in 2014. Both after having been convicted in korruptionsrättegångar controlled by the military as a way to try to get rid of troublesome political opponents."
"For the generals, the new development to be a pure nightmare. The monarchy is the only institution in the country that has a stronger position than the military. It becomes almost impossible for the military to try to cancel a valvinst for a representative from the royal family."
"Thailand's electoral commission is currently the main threat to princess Ubolratana. They need to approve her candidacy. Politicians close to the military have already questioned her right to be set up with reference to a law prohibiting political parties to use the monarchy in election campaigns."
"the thing is that the princess in the formal sense is no longer a part of the monarchy. She studied at a young age at the elitskolan MIT in Boston in the united states. There she met an american, got married and had three children. She stripped of their royal titles. She divorced and returned to Thailand in 2001, where she has been in movies, has tv-shows and engage in charity. She is very well known and treated since its återflytt as a member of the royal family."
"However, there is a grey area when it comes to whether she is covered by the country's strict majestätslagar which forbids any criticism of the monarchy and its representatives."
"The former king Bhumibol was enormously popular, and very strongly associate with the military. When he died in 2016, after 70 years in power, took the far more questioned the son, Maha Vajiralongkorn. He is presumed to have accepted that his older sister standing in the elections indicating that he is not as fond of the military's influence as his father was."
"the Military has dominated thai politics since the monarchy's absolute power was abolished in 1932. It has either ruled directly or from the scenes and set the record of military coups. After the election of Thaksin in 2001 was the first time that they ended up on the sidelines. Something they quickly fixed with the 2006 coup."
"Now is their power again threatened seriously. The question is whether they are, depending on the outcome of the election, will give it up willingly or if Thailand is facing a new period of political violence and turmoil."