try The Green up to the last moment, Regula Rytz in the Federal Council to bring. Officially, only the SP supports the candidacy. Now, however, green politicians are trying to win defectors from other parties. You are working on three scenarios.
CVPler with incognito: The Green convince, if possible, deselect many of the CVP and the GLP-parliamentarians, Federal councillor Ignazio Cassis, and to hoist in its place the green candidate Rytz in the government. In the GLP, you are likely to have some success. Because the party will decide on the voting share certificates and subsequently with a relatively large majority Rytz choose. On granite, the Green bite but not in the CVP. Although they argue: With Rytz, instead of Cassis, the CVP would win in the Bundesrat massive influence. Between the three right and three left the Federal councils CVP Federal councillor Viola Amherd would play the tiebreaker.
However, despite the addition of a constellation, the CVP-parliamentarians hardly move. With much Persuasion, the Greens can win up to Wednesday are likely to be the one or the other CVPler. But that is not enough. Because, together with the SP you have just 83 votes. A dozen of the GLP is yet to come, and it always took about 30 of the 41 CVP-votes to reach the absolute majority of 124 votes. This is very unlikely.
threat: Maybe this helps with stress and anxiety, have said, therefore, some of the Green. Since a few days, green politicians, spread the scenario, in the event of a failure in Cassis, the CVP-seat attack. That was previously taboo. Green politicians confirm that there is in the group of such Considerations. However, no one assumes that it is, in fact, come so far. The attack was apparently only distributed to a Menacing against the CVP to build. It is hoped that many CVPler for a deselection of Cassis win, if they otherwise fear for their own seat.
SVP sets is empty: A last hope, the Green is in blank ballots. That SVP members Rytz’ instead of Cassis’ write name on the ballot, not dare to hope the Greens. But you are now trying to win the Euro-Turbo Cassis disappointed SVP parliamentarians so far that they leave the ballot paper blank. Then would, in fact, reduced the absolute More. And Rytz needed fewer votes to win the election. However, that half of the SVP-group is empty, would load so many needed it – is rather unlikely. Conclusion: Without the wonders of Rytz made on Wednesday 90 votes, and Cassis remains in office.
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Created: 07.12.2019, 23:43 PM