Putin's Plan with the dead duck

The Russian Prime Minister has recently given an Interview on the live channel of the Russian Facebook copy "VK". It was a strange idea to transfer the call directly to the social network and comment on the viewers were not allowed to it. Maybe if you would have asked otherwise, why Dmitry Medvedev sitting on the uncomfortable-looking office chair in front of the camera, because he had the most burning questions of the presenter not the answer.

It was a prominent arrests that have rocked in the past few weeks, the Rich and Influential in Russia. To no one could arrest Medvedev to say something: Not to American Investor Michael Calvey (he have no exact information), not to the former Governor Victor Ischajew (this is difficult to comment on for him), not to his Trusted Mikhail Abysow (he knew nothing about its business activities).

No majority in the people

Especially the arrest Abysows, counted to 2018 to Medvedev's Ministers, makes the Premier look weak. Too weak to protect his supporters, and probably even yourself. Medvedev appears to have no restraint anymore, neither in Russia's political Elite and the electorate. According to polls, is no longer a majority behind his government. 53 percent in the last survey of the Lewada centre to dismiss them. The approval for President Vladimir Putin drops. He could improve his values, by the sacrifice of the unpopular Premier. So why Medvedev is still the head of government, and the second man in the state?

His resignation would be "a kind of silver bullet," said Konstantin Gaaze, a sociologist at the Moscow Carnegie Center. Is meant: an effective tool against Putin's dwindling popularity. And the keep does the President prefer for a Moment, in which there is more to him than now. The next presidential election is finally, in five years ' time. And maybe he needs to Medvedev until then, Yes. Because there are several options: Either Putin is building a successor for the presidency. The Prime Minister would post the best Position. Medvedev would then be replaced only if Putin has the appropriate candidate.

Want to fight Putin, however, again, he must first change the Constitution. Or he sends Medvedev back into the race. He was from 2008 to 2012 President, and Putin's placeholder.

Medvedev is not a "Lame Duck", a lame duck, as it is called on an already defeated politicians. Medvedev was "a dead duck," says Gaaze.

at the Time, they gave, as a well-functioning Tandem, now Medvedev is more of a shadow as a Partner. Politically dependent on the President, missing him not only answers but also an Agenda of their own. The Prime is looked upon as someone the latest Smartphone is interested in more than foreign policy. Medvedev is not only a "Lame Duck", a lame duck, as it is called on an already defeated politicians without much of an impact. Medvedev was "a dead duck," says Gaaze.

As President, Medvedev had declared that he wanted to make Russia more modern and its inhabitants free. Many gave up hope. But Putin ousted him after just one term and reversed its course of Reform. What remained were disappointed supporters, and the doubt of his followers, whether he had meant it ever get serious or whether his promise had been a Trick of the power tandem. At the latest since the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the following sanctions for the Russian politicians are already opportune to represent a Pro-Western Agenda.

Should have Medvedev or political objectives, then they are in deep sleep. In a future without Putin, however, says political scientist Tatyana Stanowaja, he could try maybe, to strengthen the liberals in Moscow against the Conservatives. There is only one obstacle to his political activities, she says: Putin's dominance. Because the respect for Medvedev. The two are United by a common history, both of which come from the present-day St. Petersburg, and worked there in the nineties, together in the town hall.

hunting on his most inner circle

However, Putin did not hold on to Medvedev, because he was guilty of something, says Stanowaja, but because it was easier for him, as the companions elsewhere to accommodate. Because Medvedev has no Lobby more, he would encounter other Post on rejection. "So Putin keeps him in close to control his former successor, the better."

in Addition, the Unwanted not to assume harmless a thankless Job: Medvedev, Putin, is, the, the, the people first for unpopular reforms and their economic problems. He was the one who told them that they need to work five years longer. A Reform that many see as the main reason for this is that Medvedev, but also Putin's Approval ratings have been falling. The pension reform had been the "most difficult decision of the last decade," Medvedev recently.

Now, the siloviki, powerful men with secret service connections, hunting on his inner circle. Abysow was not arrested first. In 2018, it will hit the big entrepreneurs Sijawudin Magomedov, in 2016, Russian Minister of economy Alexei Ulyukayev. Medvedev's former Vice-Minister Arkady Dvorkovich got no more space in the Cabinet. Everyone crashed for a different reason. But Medvedev could have been protecting camp, things might have been different. If it continues, he soon, no stock anymore. (Editorial Tamedia)

Created: 17.04.2019, 16:15 Uhr