Police: high risk of escalation in the weeks after a shooting

on Thursday found two people dead in a cellar space in Sätra in southern Stockholm. They suspected the murders were followed during the night of Saturday of a dödsskjutning in an apartment house in the same area.

Police are investigating if there are any kopplig between the two events but want to in the moment, not comment on a possible connection closer.

Gunnar Appelgren, expert on the fully independent churches, follows the events in Sätra the pattern seen in the firings in recent years.

– There will be a rapid escalation in which parties involved in the conflict must strike first in order to not themselves be murdered. The risk is very large for a new shooting in the same area, for a few weeks after the first event, " he says.

a conflict with any smaller event. A oförätt that you later must take revenge in order to not lose face, either within or between different criminal groupings. It can also be a struggle for the drug market between different gangs.

" this is nothing new, so here have it seen out in gängkriminaliteten. What is new is that we are choosing to shoot people to death in these conflicts, " says Gunnar Appelgren.

According to Gunnar Appelgren speak also often about a new generation of quick to take offence and impulsstyrda individuals, and with good access to the weapons. That the firings come in waves, he says, may be due to the gängkriminella sometimes disappears away for a while. They flee abroad, or convicted of crimes. Then, when they come back, conflicts may emerge.

seen, it is unlikely that third parties will suffer gängvåldet characterized the whole of the areas of impact after the firings. The residents of the area feel insecure, the other will refrain from travelling there.

– But it also happens that the innocent suffer violence, even if it is unusual. Usually it's when if you happen to shoot or throw a hand grenade, in grannlägenheten to the one that they were looking for, " says Gunnar Appelgren.