Of downturn, the threat in Berlin : the industry urges the Senate to Save

now Comes the downturn? This idea can come to anyone who holds these days with representatives of the business community. "We are heading for troubled times," warned Christian Amsinck on Tuesday. The sentiment among the companies in the capital region, while still positive, was the managing Director of enterprise associations Berlin-Brandenburg (UVB). But: "Just export-oriented sectors such as the industrial feel that the international business is more difficult."

The Association has therefore adjusted its growth forecast for the current year-to-bottom. For Berlin, he is now forecasting a Plus of about 1.5 percent to 2.5 percent in the previous year. For Brandenburg, the forecasts for a maximum of one per cent (previous year: 1.6 percent). Reasons for the projected growth of the UVB several.

for example, is a big, wide world would be: "What is happening internationally, currently, will not leave our Region unaffected," says Amsinck. And the global trade conflicts, the high level of sovereign debt in Italy and, of course, the uncertainty of the economy, in terms of the threat of Brexits said.

However, many problems are also home-made, believes Amsinck. Stomach pain prepare the dressing, particularly the budgetary policies of the Berlin state government. "The Senate wants it all," says Amsinck and refers to the agreed and planned to spend billions in public transport, the rise in personnel costs or the repurchase of the electricity network. This was too much for the country's budget, he warns: "The Berlin household is not suitable for this kind of adventure."

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Although the Land was to order the debt reduction last come forward – but mainly due to the favourable development of interest rates, a zealous debt service of the policy. "The city needs to take advantage of the Momentum of the recovery is much stronger, even in bad times, and plenty of room for investment," he explained. "Destroys the Senate more in the pace of the past few years, it will take four decades to halve the debt."

Critically, the Association also observed the transport policy of the state government – not least the demand of transport, Senator Regine Günther (independent, Green), to urge Berlin to Abolish their cars, caused resentment in the case of UVB-chief Amsinck. The Senator, pointing with her advance, that she was far away from the reality of life of the people in the capital. "It comes to participation in social life for such groups, which are dependent on Auto – mobility-impaired people, the Elderly or families with children. You would have to do without individual mobility, would be an important piece of part got lost,“ he said.

Good things, is the trade Association, however, with regard to the development on the labour market. This year, 68000 additional jobs subject to national insurance, predicted by the EIS in its annual report – 52000 in Berlin and 16000 in Brandenburg. This is the result of a UVB-estimate, in cooperation with the regional Directorate Berlin-Brandenburg of the Federal employment Agency. In the capital there will be the strongest growth in the social economy (plus 6400 jobs), and hospitality (plus 6300). Also in the area of education with 5200 new Jobs develop. In Brandenburg the logistics of 3000 new jobs standing at the top, followed by the social economy (plus 1500), construction (1300) and the health care industry (1300 extra).

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This generally positive development, however, has a downside: companies in the Region have increasingly difficulties to find suitable personnel. In Berlin, companies, on average, would only after 96 days of an employee, in Brandenburg, there are even 112 days, writes the Association in its annual report. In particular, in the care of the elderly, with 153 days and Bodies in the health sector remained in Berlin long vacant. In Brandenburg there are 237 days, the biggest bottlenecks in the field of plumbing, sanitary and heating.