May warns: No to my agreement could mean goodbye to brexit

If the british parliamentarians on Tuesday evening to say no to the prime minister Theresa Mays brexitaftale with the new additional insurance from the EU, it may mean that the british were not going to leave the EU.

It says May on Tuesday afternoon in the house of Commons, a few hours before for the second time parliament votes on her appointment.

- If the agreement does not go through, so we may have lost brexit, says May.

The british parliament in the debate on Tuesday ahead of the vote. It is expected to be held at 20.00 Danish time, writes the news agency Reuters.

Policy - 12. mar. 2019 - at. 13:13 Brexitbingo: Understand Mays skæbnedage in seven steps

Brexitbingo: Understand Mays skæbnedage in seven steps

Three votes ... maybe

Three fateful votes can potentially be held in the house of Commons in Westminster this week.

Starting with the Tuesday night:

Members of parliament are voting on the uk government's agreement with the EU, including the revised agreement, prime minister Theresa May had negotiated with the EU-commission president Jean - Claude Juncker on the night of Tuesday. The european parliament will vote YES , will the british leave the EU, as planned, with an agreement 29. march. Voted NO:

Members of parliament are voting on whether Britain should leave the EU without an agreement, i.e. a so-called 'no deal-brexit'. Cast members YES , will the british leave the EU 29. march without an agreement. Voted NO:

Meps are to vote on whether or not Theresa May should go for to postpone the brexit. The european parliament will vote YES , May once again have to travel to the EU to negotiate with heads of state and government. Voted NO , will the Uk leave the european UNION 29. march without an agreement.

Loses Jase again?

Last Theresa May put his brexitaftale with the EU to a vote in the house of Commons, was rejected by a majority of 230 votes. 118 of them came from her own party, the conservatives.

According to political commentators from the Uk are counting the few people with that May can get its deal through without further defeat. But much can change before Tuesday night. Especially due to one man's assessment:

Cox recommends

The british brexittoprådgiver, Geoffrey Cox, declined in december to recommend to the members of parliament to vote for brexitaftalen between the government and the EU.

on Tuesday afternoon, he came with its updated recommendation, after Theresa May has negotiated changes to the agreement home with Jean-Claude Juncker. And it was not positive reading for May.

According to Cox, there will, despite little progress in the agreement will still be a risk that the british are stuck in a toldlås with the EUROPEAN pga. the irish back stop.

The former brexitminister David Davis has already indicated that he is open to follow Cox's recommendation.

Backstop

There is no talk about a position on the football field, or a form of medicine.

instead, it is the so-called 'backstop', or backstop in English, an agreement between the EU and the Uk, which ensures that there does not occur a hard limit - neither customs, or political - on the sensitive stretch between Ireland and northern Ireland. Conservative mps are nervous about the backstop, in turn, will lead to a rough border between northern Ireland and the rest of the Uk - that is, an internal EU border in the nation of great Britain.

According to Theresa Mays agreement with the EU Commission president, Jean-Claude Juncker, from overnight to 12. march: the EU and the Uk has now agreed to go for alternative solutions to the challenges on the border between Ireland and northern Ireland. It must be done by the end of 2020.

ERG

European Research Group (ERG) is a group of members of parliament in the conservative party. They are among the hardest brexittilhængere in Theresa May's own conservative support base and is central for May, if she must have her agreement home, in parliament on Tuesday.

so far, there are many indications, however, that the ERG is ultraskeptiske for interpretation of the skilsmisseaftalen between the UK and the EU, which May have negotiated home.

ERG's president, Jacob Rees-Mogg, is one of the toughest brexittilhængere in the british parliament.

A whole new vote in parliament?

Several sites are there now wondered whether Theresa May can choose to go back to the EU to ask for more concessions than she already has been. Lose Theresa May a modest defeat on Tuesday night, according to The Guardians lyn-analysis might be the opportunity that she can ask for further changes in the skilsmisseaftalen, which can pave the way for a victory in the european parliament, which will give the british an agreement to step out on.

But according to Jean Claude Juncker was the very last place in the EU-the bar for the brits. Now it's 'take it or leave it'.

- In politics you get some times a second chance. It is what one does with this second chance, there is essential. For there will be no third chance. There will be no more interpretations of the interpretations, not more assurances genforsikringerne, if the meaningful vote goes wrong, said mr Juncker in a determined tone after meeting with Theresa May.

A brand new referendum?

Many in the Uk hope on a brand new brexitafstemning, where the british can 'report back' in the EU. However, this is currently very unlikely, and will probably first require a referendum and Theresa May's departure as prime minister.

May has again and again rejected that would so much as approach a new vote.

A group of opponents of the EU in the british conservative party, the European Research Group, recommends according to the media Sky News to vote against the prime minister Theresa Mays brexitaftale on Tuesday evening.

The same is the northern ireland party DUP, that is it Theresa Mays conservative. This was stated by a spokesman for the DUP on Tuesday afternoon.

Thus it looks it is extraordinarily difficult for May to gather support for the agreed divorce, in which she has negotiated with the EU.

the Vote is expected to take place Tuesday evening at eight o'clock Danish time.

According to Sky News comes the recommendation from the European Research Group, because the government with a supplementary agreement, as the Monday evening concluded with the EU, do not live up to its own promises.

- In the light of our own legal analysis, so we do not recommend to accept the government's motion today, says mp Bill Cash, on behalf of the group according to the AFP news agency.

European Research Group counts about a dozen conservative lawmakers, who are seeking a complete break with the EU.

the Message from the northern irish DUP is that there is "not sufficient progress" in the relationship to secure new promises from May.

It is still the so-called backstop that provides challenges.

- It is clear that there still is a risk that the Uk will not be able to leave the backstop legally, if it is enabled, says a spokesman for the DUP.

Policy - 12. mar. 2019 - at. 15:11 Disaster is brewing for May: party members recommend no

Policy - 12. mar. 2019 - at. 13:00 On skæbnedagen: Mavepuster to May

Policy - 11. mar. 2019 - at. 23:38 May and Juncker agree: Bagstopperproblem must be resolved before 2020