According to an article in dagens nyheter on 30 september can be up to two billion people within a hundraårsperiod be forced to leave their homes because of climate change that occurs when the levels of carbon dioxide and other climate gases in the atmosphere increases. The figure of 2 billion is based on a study at cornell university.
Assume that this flyktingkatastrof occurs on the basis of a hundred years of emissions of carbon dioxide and other climate gases of the order of magnitude that we generate in the world. In such cases, one year of global emissions to 20 million people eventually will be forced to leave their homes.
This way of counting is, of course, greatly simplified, and the uncertainty in the estimate is very large. There are estimates of the amount of refugees that is far more conservative than the as mentioned in the DN. Assume therefore that instead, it is about only one tenth, that is to say approximately 2 million people who on average, will be required to annually flee their homes.
in roughly 0.3 per cent of the world's emissions of climate gases, if we include travel and trade. This means that our way of life during a single year can eventually give rise to 6,000 refugees.
the Objections against the calculation method is as mentioned great, but if you a cautious note that our way of life each year gives rise to thousands, or perhaps tens of thousands of future refugees are on pretty safe ground.
Here I calculated with what can happen in a century-old perspective, but life goes on even after this. What happens after 200 or 300 years? One thing is for certain: Our and others ' current emissions will continue to contribute to raise the temperature of the earth and make flyktingkatastrofen with time even greater.
be regarded in other contexts as crimes against humanity. But when it comes to the refugees that we are causing by climate change as discussed within. We hear much more in the political debate about how we should prevent refugees from getting here than how we are going to reduce the future flyktingkatastrofen.
Why this silence? What had the politicians in the election campaign for the proposal to reduce emissions? Not many. ”We in Sweden are already so good,” was a common perception.
We do not need to do so much and, above all, should we not do it now. Others say that it is better to send money to developing countries and help them there than to deal with the problems we ourselves are causing here at home.
in the summer, it has begun to happen, but how long will it last? When was Sveriges Television any in-depth program on how it really stands with the climate and how we affect it?
Is it not time to take the climate crisis seriously now? It must cost and the cost properly to destroy for the future generations and force loads on the run. It is our grandchildren and the following generations who will get to meet flyktingtragedin and take the huge costs required to alleviate it.
And where will the refugees go? Yes, not here in all cases if you are to believe the influential politicians of the day.