the Norwegian Defence research establishment (FI) la Friday presented a report with suggestions to the next long-term plan for the Armed forces for the years 2021-2024.
- the Analysis shows that the current langtidsplanen (LTP) has serious operational deficiencies, and are more expensive to maintain than our previous estimates indicated, it's called.
believe that-the researchers write that such imbalances will have disproportionately large consequences for the Norwegian Armed ability.
the Government's first priority should therefore be to reinforce the current plans. This involves a merkostnad on 100 billion in the period 2021-2037, called it.
- Without this promise should our plan be reassessed, because it will lack the balance between tasks, structure and economy.19 billion extra
the Researchers have provided a financial scope of action is limited downwardly by the budsjettbanen to implement the current plans, and upwards of a budsjettbane that corresponds to the NATO goal of 2 percent of gross domestic product (GDP).
the Difference between these two levels increase over time and amount to 500 billion in the period 2021-2037. The analysis shows that increased defence spending can be traded for increased security within the whole of this budget scope.
Norway is that all NATO countries are obligated to move up to using 2 percent of GDP on Defense within 2024. Today, Norway according to the FI report 1,55 per cent.
If the 2-prosentambisjonen be reached in 2024, your budget will be of around 76 billion.
- This represents an increase of approximately 19 billion beyond the planned level for the 2020 budget.the Full dish about the scandal-the helicopters Increased uncertainty
believe that researchers point out that the world is in the midst of a geopolitical, security policy and technological change.
- What we do know, is that the trends we pointed out in 2014, not least with respect to Russia's will and ability to use military force, has become a new normal situation, " says FI ceo John-Mikal Størdal.
According to the FI-the researchers, there is little uncertainty that the tense relationship with Russia will continue under president Vladimir Putin until 2024, but they point to the great uncertainty about the security challenge the country will be after Putin.
When it comes to ally support, in the short term less uncertainty as a result of the increased american presence and focus on collective defence in NATO. In the years after 2024 the uncertainty is greater due to the progressively increased pressure on u.s. priorities and demographic challenges in Europe, called it.Broad scope
According to the believe that the government has a "broad scope" when it comes to which direction the Defense is to develop in. The researchers draw four directions:Strengthen cooperation with allies to contribute more to Nato's collective defence capability, carry a greater responsibility in our areas and increase the ability to ensure the receipt and movement of allied strength in Norway.Strengthen the national capacity for crisis management by focusing on surveillance, intelligence and governance, more presence and better mobility.Strengthen the ability to deny an opponent to exploit the territory in a high-intensity military conflict through the increased capacity to build situational awareness, obtain the target data and deliver long-range presisjonsild.Strengthen the ability to control the territory in a high-intensity military conflict through the increased capacity to stop an opponent's hovedstyrke and prevent, and if necessary fight, the less air - and sjølandsatte forces. Considering to reconstruct ulykka