It has been a momentous half year in Swedish politics. Old alliances have failed, new partnerships have come to. A new political landscape is emerging, which is not characterized by the traditional logic of blocs.
the Tone has been properly very spaced of partiföreträdare and opinion leaders, in particular, a bit to the right. Invektiv as ”marriage”, and even ”traitor”, have catapulted to Annie Lööf and Jan Björklund for their parties made up with the social democrats.
the Voters, however, seem to take this matter with the ro. Friday's Ipsos poll, which mirrors other measurements from the last month, shows limited changes in opinion since the election in september.
the reach, as well as in the elections, just over 40 per cent. The left has taken 1 or 2 percentage points from the social democrats and the Greens, certainly voters who are dissatisfied with the many liberal features of the januariavtalet. But any dramatic shift in their relative strength, it is not.
the Dramatic is not Only the rise: a small stream from the front of everything the Conservatives are doing to the party lands at 19%. Thereabouts low SD also months before the election.
reached, together 14 per cent in september. Now they end up on 12.
That C and L lost a few percentage points to the Moderates and the Christian democrats after the settlement with Stefan Löfven is not surprising. Polls have consistently indicated that their electorate contained two types of voters: a minority who give priority to S are kept away from power, and a majority who think that it is most important that the SD is not given influence. The first group has significantly shifted its support to the M and KD.
It is not surprising that the Centre party fared better than the Liberals, which reaches 4 per cent in the Ipsos, but is lower in several other measurements. One was the percentage of voters who shun the major of L. and björklund's liberals were damaged by the open conflict around the party's choices. With peace and quiet in any case some people come back.
have had to pay a price in public opinion for the settlement with the social democrats does not mean that the decision was wrong, even from a narrow partitaktiskt perspective. Had the parties been released until Ulf Kristersson with Jimmie Åkessons support had many of their other constituents rather than left. They are, as I said, more than those who see red ahead of the social democrats.
For the Conservatives to continue the difficult balancing act that characterized the entire previous term of office.
the Fact is that it limited the loss underlines that there is a group of voters at a bit over 10 per cent who think it is more important with the representative who stands up for liberal values and political issues than to the prime minister picked from a particular batch. Can C and L continue to mobilise them, they can cement a long-term role as vågmästare in Swedish politics.
the difficult balancing act that characterized the entire previous term of office. At the same time as the party continues to leak to SD, lose it well properly to KD. the Ebba Busch Thor's tough stance vis-à-vis both S C and L – and her softer stance against the SD attracts bitter M-voters. It is likely to strengthen the pressure on the moderatledaren to turn right and approaching Jimmie Åkesson.
In that case, the deteriorating conditions to one day reunite the Alliance. Such a yaw in addition can get voters to shake up the M-marked the ship may Ulf Kristerssons representatives testify.