Strength : What is the counterparty in Syria on the game

Syria is not alone. The planned withdrawal of the US from the war-stricken country wakes involved desires for other Conflict. It comes to the control of around a quarter of Syrian territory in the North, with major oil fields and fertile farmland – and to provide the best possible initial positions for talks on the future of Syria. Important preliminary decisions might fall in a Russian-Turkish summit meeting on Wednesday in Moscow. An Overview of the actors, their plans and their motives.

RUSSIA as the predominant military and political force is the most important factor in the Syrian poker. Vladimir Putin wants to end the almost eight-year war, the Position of his country as a new middle East power, cement, and a strong Central government under Russian influence install. At the same time, the head of state uses the cooperation with Turkey, to loosen the ties to the West of Ankara. After he met in 2018, less than eight Times with his Turkish colleague, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, is continuing Putin's close consultation in the new year. He wants to strengthen this Alliance, at the same time, however, Turkish ambitions in Syria brakes. The of Turkey's announced the military was not large-scale offensive against the Kurds in Northern Syria, such as the creation of an Ankara-dominated buffer zone in Moscow's interest, says expert on Russia Kerim Has.

AMERICA has weakened with the President, Donald Trump announced the withdrawal of troops as a player. Although Washington stresses that the main objectives of the U.S.-Syria policy – the fight against the "Islamic state" (IS) and the Iran – would also be followed after the withdrawal of the 2000 U.S. soldiers. But without troops on the ground, the question of how to do that. The death of four Americans in the event of an alleged ISIS attack in the town of Manbij this week, fuelled the debate on the withdrawal. Conflicting signals from Washington to increase the confusion over the course of the super power. At the same time in Trouble with the Nato-Partner Turkey. Ankara, the Syrian Kurdish militia YPG is considered the most important Partner of Washington in the fight against the IS as a terrorist group and wants to proceed militarily against it.

TURKEY will feel the withdrawal announcement by the Americans is strengthened. Erdogan wants to send according to Reports, up to 80000 soldiers across the border to Northern Syria, in a part of the US-dominated territory, his long-cherished Plan for a Turkish-controlled safety zone against the Kurdish militia YPG. The Turkish President, the occupation of a roughly 30-kilometre-wide strip along the Turkish southern border in mind. However, Turkey wants to avoid a direct confrontation with the US; if the Americans to delay their withdrawal, for the time being, nothing from the Turkish buffer zone. Also, Erdogan has to take consideration for Russia.

in Addition, Ankara's playing space is concentrated by the recent development in the province of Idlib in Northwest Syria. Erdogan had met with Putin a deal that prevented a major attack by the Syrian army in the province, and thus a new wave of refugees in Turkey so far. But now this has strengthened the terrorist organization Al-Qaeda related jihadists Alliance Hayat's Tahrir al sham (HTS) his position in Idlib – despite a Turkish pledge to fight the Islamists. At the Moscow summit, Putin is likely to increase the pressure on Erdogan, in Idlib the fight against the HTS-fighters.

SYRIA's KURDS by America's withdrawal decision in their most important protector, deprived. In return for the use of the YPG in the loss of the fight against IS the Kurds were under the umbrella of the US presence in the past few years, the possibility of self-government in the North-East of Syria. This is due to the Turkish threat of military intervention in danger. A Turkish buffer zone, the YPG rejects strict; possibly with one of the UN-controlled area strips you could make friends. The United Nations is highly unlikely. Therefore, the Kurds have been trying for some time to be close to the Rulers in Damascus. To the West of Manbij joint patrols by Kurdish fighters, Syrian soldiers and Russian military have already been police officers formed. A Takeover of the US and the YPG controlled the North-East of the country by the Russian army and the Syrian Regime would have for the Kurds, the advantage that a Turkish Invasion would be prevented. A large measure of self-government cannot expect the Kurds of Bashar al-Assad.

SYRIA's commander-in-chief has one goal in mind: He wants to rule after almost eight years of war back to the country as a whole. To this claim the 53-Year-old undeterred by all the setbacks, accusations and war crimes. And he can rely on Russia's support. Also, the access to the North of Syria in favour of Moscow. Only recently Minister Sergei Lavrov stressed on the outside, the areas should be handed over to the Syrian security forces and in the state management structure to be integrated – this is the "best and only solution". While Assad handy for that, he is step for step on the diplomatic parquet "presentable". Recently, the United Arab Emirates opened its Embassy in Damascus. Even Saudi Arabia, for years, declared mortal enemy of the Syrian regime, in favour of the country into the Arab League. For Assad, this should be a satisfaction to some, he seems to have been recognised as the legitimate representative of Syria.

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THE "ISLAMIC STATE" also belongs to the profiteers. The very fact that you complain about the deadly attack on U.S. soldiers in Manbij, is for the jihadists a propaganda success: you will be expected to organize such an attack far away from their remaining spheres of Influence in the Euphrates valley. No wonder experts fear that the IS could win with the US withdrawal at power. Apparently, the politicians see the US as similar. Republican Senator Lindsey Graham said that Trumps decision to have triggered the "enthusiasm of the enemy".